Keyword: real GDP

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is now 1.8% for 2019:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Global Economy and Global Real GDP Growth Morgan Stanley expects global growth to improve by 60 bps over 5 quarters. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -0.54% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth Assuming no futher escalation, the trade war drag on real GDP growth is expected to gradually fade over the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Real GDP Growth During Expansions The current business cycle is the longest, but it’s far from being the best. Image: Bloomberg

Effect of Financial Conditions on U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting an improvement of U.S. real GDP growth in 2020, as the impulse from financial conditions turns positive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Effect of the Trade War on China Real GDP Growth The trade war drag on China real GDP growth is expected to peak in Q4 2019. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting a rebound in global growth outside the United States. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector Chart showing the contribution to U.S. real GDP by sector. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

Effect of Fiscal Policy on U.S. Real GDP Growth This chart suggests a negative effect of fiscal policy on real GDP growth in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research