Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at 6.4% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001, 2007 and 2020, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.
U.S. Real GDP and Labor Force Is slower economic growth in the United States the new normal? Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 Valuation – Real Market Capitalization to Real GDP Ratio The disconnect between the U.S. stock market and the U.S. economy continues to grow. When will a reversion eventually occur? Image: Real Investment Advice
OECD Countries – Projected Real GDP per Capita Growth Canada is expected to be the worst performing advanced economy over 2020-2030. Image: OECD
U.S. Real GDP U.S. real GDP is expected to reach the pre-crisis trend in 2022. Image: Oxford Economics
Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector The U.S. economy grew at 2% annual rate in Q3 2021. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 vs. Fed Fund Rates and Real GDP Equity markets are vulnerable to tapering and rising rates. Could the Fed be making a policy mistake? Image: Real Investment Advice
Real GDP and Inflation Forecasts Is the threat of stagflation still a possibility in 2022? Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal” Will low economic growth be the “new normal” for the United States? Image: Real Investment Advice
World Oil Consumption and World Real GDP Global oil consumption remains on the rise, despite the coronavirus pandemic. Image: Alpine Macro