China Real GDP Growth Forecast

China Real GDP Growth Forecast This chart suggests China’s real GDP growth this year, under different scenarios. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Real GDP Growth

U.S. Real GDP Growth Oxford Economics expects weak GDP growth in the first quarter and 1.6% in 2020. Image: Oxford Economics

U.S. Real GDP Forecast

U.S. Real GDP Forecast According to 37 professional forecasters surveyed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, U.S. real GDP is expected to grow 2% in 2020 and should continue to improve next year. Image: Macrobond Financial

Long-Term Annual Real GDP Growth in the U.S.

Long-Term Annual Real GDP Growth in the U.S. Most forecasters projects long-term real GDP growth of about 2% in the United States, except for the White House (Office of Management and Budget). Image: Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget

DM Real GDP and WTI Crude Oil (Leading Indicator)

DM Real GDP and WTI Crude Oil (Leading Indicator) Chart suggesting that the 18-month rate of change of WTI crude oil (inverted) tends to lead DM real GDP by 18 months. Image: Topdown Charts

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -0.50% YoY in January, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector Chart showing the contribution to U.S. real GDP by sector. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

U.S. Real GDP Leading Indicator

U.S. Real GDP Leading Indicator The U.S. real GDP leading indicator suggests an improvement in the second half of 2020 (R² = 0.74). Image: KKR Global Macro

S&P 500 Realized Volatility and U.S. Real GDP Growth

S&P 500 Realized Volatility and U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting the correlation between the S&P 500 realized volatility and U.S. real GDP growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research