Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is now 1.8% for 2019:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -0.54% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth Assuming no futher escalation, the trade war drag on real GDP growth is expected to gradually fade over the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Effect of Financial Conditions on U.S. Real GDP Growth

Effect of Financial Conditions on U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting an improvement of U.S. real GDP growth in 2020, as the impulse from financial conditions turns positive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth

U.S. and Global Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting a rebound in global growth outside the United States. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector Chart showing the contribution to U.S. real GDP by sector. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal