Keyword: real GDP

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is 2.0% for 2019:Q4. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at 0.02% YoY in November, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector Chart showing the contribution to U.S. real GDP by sector. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

Effect of Fiscal Policy on U.S. Real GDP Growth This chart suggests a negative effect of fiscal policy on real GDP growth in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Real GDP Growth It may take a few quarters for the financial system to feel the effects of the monetary easing measures implemented by central banks this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Debt Growth vs. Real GDP Growth Chart showing that the United States is on an unsustainable path, because U.S. debt is growing faster than the economy. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Real GDP – Female vs. Male Economic Forecasters Who are better forecasters? Female or male economic forecasters? This chart shows why diverse teams are smarter. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC

U.S. Business Cycle – Cumulative Real GDP Growth of U.S. Postwar Expansions and Forecast The current business cycle is the longest and weakest expansion. Chart showing the UBS forecast through year-end 2020. Image: UBS

U.S. and China – Effect of the Trade War on Real GDP Growth Assuming no futher escalation, the trade war drag on real GDP growth is expected to peak in Q4 2019. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Dollar and ROW – U.S. Real GDP Growth Differential Chart suggesting that a rebound in global growth outside the U.S., should weaken the U.S. dollar. Image: Morgan Stanley Research