Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -7.58% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.
U.S. Real GDP and Fiscal Support Should investors favor risk assets in 2021, as additional fiscal support should provide a boost to growth? Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
U.S. Real GDP Forecast – Democratic Sweep vs. Republican Sweep This chart suggests what would Trump’s and Biden’s policies mean for U.S. real GDP. Image: Financial Times
U.S. Real GDP – Economic Booms and Buts U.S. real GDP booms at 33.1% rate in Q3 2020, one of the strongest on record. Image: CNBC
China Real GDP and Industrial Production China is experiencing a strong V-shaped economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
China (Real GDP Levels) China is expected to continue a robust recovery. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
U.S. Real GDP vs. Pre-COVID-19 Trend Investors should not expect a quick recovery. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
2021 U.S. Real GDP Forecasts Goldman Sachs forecasts U.S. real GDP growth of 5.8% in 2021 compared to the consensus forecast of 3.8%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
China Real GDP and China Leading Economic Index China appears to be on track for a V-shaped economic recovery. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Real GDP – China vs. U.S. Chart suggesting that China real GDP will overtake U.S. real GDP by 2031. Image: Deutsche Bank