Search Results for: real GDP

China Real GDP Growth Forecast The downturn in growth in China may be stabilizing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is now 4.9% for 2023:Q3. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal” Will a sustained period of low economic growth be the “new normal” for the United States? Image: Real Investment Advice

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -5.91% YoY in August, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001, 2007 and 2020, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession was on the horizon in the United States.

China Real GDP Growth vs. Current Activity Indicator (CAI) Goldman Sachs forecasts China real GDP growth of 5.4% in 2023 and 4.5% in 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Real S&P 500 and Real GDP The excesses of the U.S. stock market tend to correct themselves over time. Image: Real Investment Advice

Global Real GDP Growth vs. Current Activity Indicator (CAI) Goldman Sachs forecasts global real GDP growth of 2.5% in 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Contribution to U.S. Real GDP by Sector U.S. GDP grew 2.7% in Q4 2022. The housing slump was a net drag on GDP, and it’s not over yet. Image: The Daily Shot

U.S. Real GDP Growth Forecast Goldman Sachs estimates a 35% probability that the U.S. economy enters recession over the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Recession – U.S. Real GDP and Financial Conditions Index (Leading Indicator) Financial conditions tend to lead U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Alpine Macro