Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at 6.4% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001, 2007 and 2020, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

U.S. Real GDP and Labor Force

U.S. Real GDP and Labor Force Is slower economic growth in the United States the new normal? Image: Alpine Macro

U.S. Real GDP

U.S. Real GDP U.S. real GDP is expected to reach the pre-crisis trend in 2022. Image: Oxford Economics

S&P 500 vs. Fed Fund Rates and Real GDP

S&P 500 vs. Fed Fund Rates and Real GDP Equity markets are vulnerable to tapering and rising rates. Could the Fed be making a policy mistake? Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal”

U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal” Will low economic growth be the “new normal” for the United States? Image: Real Investment Advice