Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is 2.5% for 2024:Q2, suggesting that the U.S. economy is experiencing moderate growth and maintaining a positive trajectory. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -7.74% YoY in June. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary Help Services Jobs are often considered a leading indicator of a potential recession (red line at -3.5%), but they do…
S&P 500 Valuation – Real Market Capitalization to Real GDP Ratio The inflation-adjusted market capitalization to GDP ratio is a valuable tool to evaluate the U.S. stock market’s valuation. The high current ratio implies a potential overvaluation. Image: Real Investment Advice
Real GDP and Inflation The U.S. economy has avoided recessions and stagflations 90% of the time, inspiring confidence in investors and showcasing the country’s commitment to long-term economic stability and growth. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
U.S. Real GDP Growth Deutsche Bank has a more positive outlook on the growth of U.S. GDP compared to consensus, reflecting their belief in the good performance of the U.S. economy. Image: Deutsche Bank
Markets – Cumulative S&P 500 Growth vs. Cumulative Real GDP Growth vs. Cumulative S&P Sales Growth Since 2007, U.S. stock prices rose 6 times more than U.S. real GDP. Is the disconnect between the stock market and the economy justified? Image: Real Investment Advice
China Real GDP Growth Forecast The downturn in growth in China may be stabilizing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Real GDP “New-New Normal” Will a sustained period of low economic growth be the “new normal” for the United States? Image: Real Investment Advice
China Real GDP Growth vs. Current Activity Indicator (CAI) Goldman Sachs forecasts China real GDP growth of 5.4% in 2023 and 4.5% in 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Real S&P 500 and Real GDP The excesses of the U.S. stock market tend to correct themselves over time. Image: Real Investment Advice