Search Results for: yield curve

U.S. Recession Probability Based on Front-End Yield Curve Slope The probability of a recession in the United States is still low over the next 12 months. Image: BofA Global Research

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, decreased to 2.7% in April. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

U.S. Yield Curve – Which Yield Spread Matters? Investors should care about an inverted yield curve, which has preceded every U.S. recession over the past 50 years. Image: Real Investment Advice

Percent of 10 Yield Curves Inverted U.S. recession risk rises significantly when the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 50%. Image: Real Investment Advice

Recession – Proportion of U.S. Yield Curve Inverted When the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 50%, the risk of a recession in the United States increases significantly. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. 10Y-5Y Yield Curve and Recessions Can investors expect a steepening yield curve as a recession hedge? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

S&P 500 Index and 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Less Than 0.25% Historically, the inversion of the 10Y-2Y yield curve is not an immediate sell signal for U.S. stocks. Image: MarketDesk Research

Yield Curve – U.S. Equity Returns in the 12-Months Following the First 10Y-2Y Inversion in Each Cycle Will the S&P 500 hit a new record high this year, despite the 10Y-2Y inverted yield curve? Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Slope Should investors expect a more inverted 10Y-2Y yield curve? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Returns Following 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversions The S&P 500 typically rises in the 12 and 24 months following the 10Y-2Y yield curve inversion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research