Search Results for: yield curve

Percent of Yield Curves Inverted In recent history, U.S. recessions were preceded by yield curve inversion. It’s not different this time. Image: Macrobond Financial

U.S. Recession Probabilities Based on the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession over the next 12 months, based on the yield curves, has risen significantly. Image: Deutsche Bank

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of U.S. recession over the next 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, decreased to 25.9% in January. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Percent of 10 Yield Curves Inverted This chart shows that 40% of the 10-yield spreads have inverted again, as the coronavirus spreads from China. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. Rates and Yield Curve The inverted 10Y-3M yield curve suggests that monetary policy is becoming too tight. Image: Fidelity Investments

Yield Curve Inversions and U.S. Recessions The table shows the significant lag between the first inversion date and the onset of the recession in the United States. Image: Jeroen Blokland

U.S. Monetary Policy, Term Premium and Yield Curve This chart suggests when U.S. monetary policy is too tight or too loose. An inverted yield curve is a sign that monetary policy is too tight. Image: Fidelity Investments

The 10Y-3M Yield Curve The 10-year less 3-month yield curve flattens, as the coronavirus spreads from China. Image: Bianco Research

Yield Curve vs. Global Equities Global yield curves suggest optimism for risk assets in 2020. Image: Topdown Charts

10Y-2Y Yield Curve and U.S. Recession The U.S. yield curve is steepening and suggests optimism for 2020, as investors become more confident in the U.S. economy. Image: Financial Times