Search Results for: yield curve

U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve A steepening U.S. yield curve has preceded recessions. Will the U.S. unemployment rate start to rise by the end of 2023? Image: Topdown Charts

U.S. 10Y-3M Yield Curve The inverted yield curve, which is a historically reliable indicator of an impending recession, suggests that the U.S. economy may be headed for a downturn in the near future. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and Recessions Historically, a steepening U.S. 10Y-2Y yield curve has preceded recessions. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, increased to 63.3% in January. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Percent of 10 Yield Curves Inverted Historically, when the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 60%, as it is today, a recession in the U.S. is very likely. Image: Real Investment Advice

Recession – Diffusion Index of Every Possible Yield Curve Inversion The increasing number of inverted yield curves does not bode well for the U.S. economy. Image: Macrobond

Yield Curve – U.S. 10-Year – 3-Month Treasury Spread The deeper inversion of the 10Y-3M yield curve is a warning signal of a coming recession in the United States. Image: The Daily Shot

U.S. Yield Curve Inversion and Market Drawdowns The U.S. stock market is expected to bottom out well after the 10Y-3M yield curve un-inverts. Image: Real Investment Advice

Consecutive Trading Days of Inverted 10Y-2Y U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Should investors continue the countdown to the U.S. recession? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Yield Curve – Which Yield Spread Matters? Investors should care about an inverted yield curve, which has preceded every U.S. recession over the past 50 years. Image: Real Investment Advice