Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth

Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth The slowdown in the labor force in the U.S., China, Europe and Japan, represents 62% of the world’s GDP and 69% of the equity market capitalization. The labor force growth is expected to be -1% by 2055. Image: Fidelity Investments

Debt Securities Issued by S&P 500 Companies

Debt Securities Issued by S&P 500 Companies Should investors be concerned about the corporate debt maturity wall? This chart shows the long term S&P 500 debt maturity schedule. Image: J.P. Morgan US Equity Strategy & Global Quantitative Research

Stock Market Equity Risk Premium

https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the 10-year treasury Note. This is the premium that…

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index and Recessions

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index and Recessions This indicator provides an update on U.S. financial conditions in money markets, debt, equity markets and the traditional & “shadow” banking systems. If financial conditions tighten sharply, this suggests a coming slowdown or recession.