U.S. Equity Margin Debt / S&P 500 Market Capitalization Should investors worry about the growth of margin debt? Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Emerging Market Debt + Equity Flows EM debt and equity saw the third-largest inflow ever. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Small Caps Debt-to-Equity Exceeds Large Caps The debt-to-equity ratio of small caps exceeds large caps for the first time. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Leverage – Net Debt to EBITDA of Small Caps vs. Large Caps Excess leverage is more pronounced among U.S. small caps. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth The slowdown in the labor force in the U.S., China, Europe and Japan, represents 62% of the world’s GDP and 69% of the equity market capitalization. The labor force growth is expected to be -1% by 2055. Image: Fidelity Investments
Debt Securities Issued by S&P 500 Companies Should investors be concerned about the corporate debt maturity wall? This chart shows the long term S&P 500 debt maturity schedule. Image: J.P. Morgan US Equity Strategy & Global Quantitative Research
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the 10-year treasury Note. This is the premium that…
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index and Recessions This indicator provides an update on U.S. financial conditions in money markets, debt, equity markets and the traditional & “shadow” banking systems. If financial conditions tighten sharply, this suggests a coming slowdown or recession.