Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth

Debt, Demographics and Labor Force Growth The slowdown in the labor force in the U.S., China, Europe and Japan, represents 62% of the world’s GDP and 69% of the equity market capitalization. The labor force growth is expected to be -1% by 2055. Image: Fidelity Investments

Stock Market Equity Risk Premium

https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the 10-year treasury Note. This is the premium that…

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index Before a coming recession, watch closely the financial conditions indicator. It provides an update on US financial conditions in money markets, debt, equity markets and the traditional & “shadow” banking systems. This superb indicator is key for forecasting the future. If financial conditions tighten sharply, then it indicates a…