Search Results for: probability

Interest Rates – Probability of Fed Rate Hike Is the Fed far away from its inflation target of 2%? Further rate hikes should slow down the U.S. economy. Image: The Daily Shot

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, increased to 27% in August. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

S&P 500 Recession Probability Priced In Currently, the S&P 500 implies a 20% probability of a recession in the United States. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession Market-based indicators have priced a higher probability of a U.S. recession in the next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Recession Probability Model The odds of a recession in the United States continue to rise. Image: BCA Research

Probability of a U.S. Recession Markets are pricing a significant probability of recession risk in the United States. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. Recession Probability Indicator Is the United States headed for a recession? Image: Alpine Macro

Probability of U.S. Recession in the Next Four Quarters The Morgan Stanley’s recession probability model is fast approaching a point of no return. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Probability of U.S. Recession Beginning Within 12 Months Investors should prepare for an increased risk of recession in the United States. Image: J.P. Morgan

Probability the U.S. Is in a Recession in Next 12 Months Including Today Is a recession in the United States inevitable? Image: The Wall Street Journal