Search Results for: probability

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability Goldman Sachs estimates a 25% probability that the U.S. economy will enter a recession in the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Interest Rates – Probability of Fed Rate Hike The market is still pricing in a higher terminal rate. Image: The Daily Shot

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 79.3% in May. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Probability of U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months The likelihood of a recession in the United States over the next 12 months is back to nearly 100%. Image: Deutsche Bank

Probability of U.S. Recession Beginning Within 12 Months The probability of a U.S. recession beginning within 12 months remains high. Image: J.P. Morgan

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession Market-based indicators have priced in a higher probability of a U.S. recession in the next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Probability of a U.S. Recession The 12-month ahead U.S. recession probability continues to increase. Image: J.P. Morgan

Professional Forecasters Probability of Recession Recession fears grow among professional forecasters. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Credit-Based Recession Probability The U.S. credit recession indicator suggests that a U.S. recession is still less likely through the second quarter of 2023. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Recession Probability Indicator The odds of a recession in the United States are still rising. Image: Alpine Macro