U.S. Recession Probability – BofA Survey

U.S. Recession Probability – BofA Survey The September edition of the BofA survey shows that clients see a 25% chance of recession over the next 12 months. Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch Credit Investor Survey

Allocation to Cash and Recession Probability

Allocation to Cash and Recession Probability This chart shows the correlation between allocation to cash and the NY Fed 12-month ahead recession probability indicator. Picture source: Barclays Research

Probability of A Recession Over the Next 12 Months

Probability of A Recession Over the Next 12 Months The Bloomberg survey of professional forecasters shows a 35% probability of a recession over the next 12 months Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch

U.S. Recession Probability and the U.S. Dollar

U.S. Recession Probability and the U.S. Dollar The chart shows the correlation between the NY Fed probability of U.S. recession and the U.S. dollar. Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch