Probability of a U.S. Recession

Probability of a U.S. Recession The 12-month ahead U.S. recession probability continues to increase. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. Credit-Based Recession Probability

U.S. Credit-Based Recession Probability The U.S. credit recession indicator suggests that a U.S. recession is still less likely through the second quarter of 2023. Image: Deutsche Bank

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability Goldman Sachs still sees the possibility of a soft landing for the U.S. economy in 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Recession Probability Priced In

S&P 500 Recession Probability Priced In Currently, the S&P 500 implies a 20% probability of a recession in the United States. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy