Estimated U.S. Recession Probability

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability Goldman Sachs estimates a 25% probability that the U.S. economy will enter a recession in the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Probability of a U.S. Recession

Probability of a U.S. Recession The 12-month ahead U.S. recession probability continues to increase. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. Credit-Based Recession Probability

U.S. Credit-Based Recession Probability The U.S. credit recession indicator suggests that a U.S. recession is still less likely through the second quarter of 2023. Image: Deutsche Bank