Probability of Fed Rate Cut

Probability of Fed Rate Cut Given that inflation plays a crucial role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s decision-making process, is it time to say goodbye to the Fed’s first rate cut in May 2024? Image: The Daily Shot

Probability of U.S. Recession Over the Next 12 Months

Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year Goldman Sachs has expressed confidence in the U.S. economy and forecasts a 15% chance of a recession in the next one year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Probability of U.S. Recession

Probability of U.S. Recession The decline in the one-year recession probability based on the S&P 500 and the BBB spread is a significant development and may have implications for market sentiment and investment strategies. Image: Bloomberg Economics

Probability of Negative Returns, Based on S&P 500 Total Returns from 1929-Present

Probability of Negative Returns, Based on S&P 500 Total Returns from 1929-Present Lengthening the investment time horizon can reduce U.S. equity losses by allowing investors to ride out short-term market fluctuations and benefit from the long-term growth potential of equities. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes

Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes The S&P 500 predicts a low recession likelihood at 18% in the United States. However, base metals, sensitive to industrial demand and global conditions, suggest a higher probability of 82%. Image: J.P. Morgan

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability

Estimated U.S. Recession Probability Despite Fed’s rate hikes, Goldman Sachs does not foresee a recession and remains optimistic about the U.S. economy’s ability to continue growing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research