Survey – U.S. Recession Probability

Survey – U.S. Recession Probability U.S. recession fears are fading and U.S. credit investors now see a 21% chance of recession over the next 12 months. It was 25% in September. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Credit Investor Survey

What Is the Probability of Being Unemployed in a Given Month in the United States?

What Is the Probability of Being Unemployed in a Given Month in the United States? Weekly initial jobless claims decreased to 211,000. Currently, by dividing the average initial claims for unemployment insurance by the total number of people working, the probability is less than 0.14% of being unemployed in a given month in the United…

Probability of U.S. Recession Within 12 and 24 Months

Probability of U.S. Recession Within 12 and 24 Months Chart suggesting that the probability of U.S. recession within 12 and 24 months remains relatively moderate. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Japan Recession Probability

Japan Recession Probability Chances of a recession in Japan are pretty high. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC