Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession

At just 13%, market-implied recession odds for the next year are below the long-term average, pointing to a supportive risk backdrop.

Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession