Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey Leads U.S. Real GDP Growth Chart suggesting that the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey leads U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Business Cycle: Private Non-farm Employment, Corporate Profits and Employee Compensation This chart highlights the decline in corporate profits and rising wages, one characteristic of the late stage of the business cycle. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Small Business Sales Expectations and Nominal U.S. GDP Growth Chart showing the correlation between U.S. small business sales expectations and nominal U.S. GDP growth, and the impact of small businesses to the U.S. economy. Image: Blackstone
Business Cycle – U.S. Output Gap and Unemployment Rate Chart suggesting that the US economy has slipped into the late stage of the business cycle. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC
U.S. Core Capital Goods Shipment and Non-residential Business Fixed Investment (Capex) Is the “phase one” US-China trade deal enough to reverse the slowdown? Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Fed Rate Cuts and Business Cycle Similar Fed rate cuts in the 1990s should be enough to prolong the business cycle, and should be positive for stocks. Image: LPL Financial LLC
U.S. Consumer Spending, Business Investment and U.S. GDP Right now, consumer spending is the driving force behind the U.S. economy. Image: Financial Times
Historical Asset Performance At Turning Points in the Business Cycle Equity volatility is expected to increase over the next 12 months, as recession fears increase. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
U.S. Consumer Confidence Relative to U.S. Business Confidence This chart shows one of the highest divergence between consumer confidence and business confidence, more than two standard deviations. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Conference Board CEO Business Confidence – Expectations for Economy 6 Months Ahead CEOs in the U.S. remain pessimistic about economic conditions. Outside of U.S. recession, CEO confidence has never been so low. Image: Pictet Asset Management
