U.S. Excess Liquidity Leads U.S. PMI

U.S. Excess Liquidity Leads U.S. PMI This chart suggests that U.S. excess liquidity leads U.S. PMI by 12 months. U.S. PMI could bounce back in 2020. Image: Exane BNP Paribas

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI When the U.S. economy experiences a period of weakness, it commonly results in a subsequent decline in nonfarm payrolls. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

ISM Manufacturing PMI and U.S. Recessions

ISM Manufacturing PMI and U.S. Recessions When the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI falls below 45, recession risks are rising significantly, as the manufacturing sector is experiencing a sharp decline. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. S&P Composite PMI and GDP

U.S. S&P Composite PMI and GDP The U.S. S&P Composite PMI suggests that the U.S. economy could be headed for a period of contraction. Image: Macro Markets Daily