U.S. Excess Liquidity Leads U.S. PMI

U.S. Excess Liquidity Leads U.S. PMI This chart suggests that U.S. excess liquidity leads U.S. PMI by 12 months. U.S. PMI could bounce back in 2020. Image: Exane BNP Paribas

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth A rise in the U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI is suggesting positive growth in 1Q EPS, with expectations of outperforming the initial projections. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI A reading below 50 on the ISM manufacturing index indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity, potentially affecting payrolls. However, the relationship between the index and actual payrolls is not straightforward. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

ISM Manufacturing PMI and U.S. Recessions

ISM Manufacturing PMI and U.S. Recessions When the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI falls below 45, recession risks are rising significantly, as the manufacturing sector is experiencing a sharp decline. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy