U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession In December, U.S. real retail sales stand at 9.17% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, real retail sales trended sideways before the recession began.
U.S. Equity Price Returns from Each Valuation Decile Should U.S. equity investors expect negative annualized returns over the next 5 years? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt Balances Could the level of margin debt in U.S. equities pose a risk to the bull market? Image: Real Investment Advice
Cash – Total Liquid Assets of U.S. Nonfinancial Corporates The U.S. corporate cash pile grew to US$7 trillion in Q3 2021. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
U.S. Stock Market Valuation – Cape Ratio Is the U.S. stock market expensive today? Well, the CAPE ratio is just the second highest in over 100 years. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Share Buyback Announcements Will share buybacks reach a record high this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Wage Inflation – U.S. Average Hourly Earnings Expectations U.S. average hourly earnings rose more than expected in December. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal suggests that the U.S. stock…
30-Year U.S. Bond Total Return Minus S&P 500 Total Return Will the S&P 500 continue to outperform U.S. bonds this year? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Copper to Gold Ratio and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Historically, the copper to gold ratio tends to lead the direction of the 10-year UST yield. Image: The Daily Shot