U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Two Tuesdays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.41%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S.…
Performance – MSCI U.S. vs. All Country World ex. U.S. Ratio and Trend After nearly a decade of U.S. stocks trouncing global peers, international markets have finally turned the tables, making home bias look increasingly costly. Image: Hi Mount Research
Number of U.S. IPOs Wall Street is about to wake up again. After a sluggish stretch, the U.S. IPO machine is set to roar back to life in 2026, with some 120 deals tipped to raise $160 billion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession U.S. real retail sales stand at -0.22% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, U.S. real retail sales trended sideways before the recession began.
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The bulls are holding their ground, with the Greed and Fear Index flashing 75.86. The rally still has its fans, but a consolidation wouldn’t surprise anyone. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History U.S. stocks aren’t exactly on sale at 22 times forward earnings for the S&P 500 and 26 for the Nasdaq 100, but investors seem happy to chase prices higher as long as profits keep growing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Consumer Confidence in Higher Stock Prices vs. S&P 500 Trailing Valuations Confidence in future stock gains is fueling higher valuations, with investors paying up for growth they believe will last. But that conviction could prove fragile if those expectations falter. Image: Real Investment Advice
Net Monthly Flows of U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Since the reversal in October 2025, institutions have cut billions in Bitcoin holdings month after month, an indication of fading appetite and a darker mood across crypto markets. Image: Deutsche Bank Research
U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs is betting on a still-solid U.S. economy, calling for growth of 2.9% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, topping consensus forecasts as cooling inflation and firm hiring underpin the expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Drawdowns from 52-Week Highs for Selected U.S. and Related Stocks Investors aren’t buying every U.S. tech name anymore. The market is picking clear winners and leaving the rest behind, particularly in AI-related stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank
Performance – S&P 500 Relative to FTSE All-World Excluding U.S. US stocks have sunk to a two-year low versus global peers, as tariffs bite and AI gains stay concentrated among a handful of megacaps. Diversifying beyond the U.S. is paying off. Image: Bloomberg