S&P 500 Performance When Q1 Low Breaks the December Low Close Historically, when the S&P 500 index falls below its December low in the first quarter, it’s often seen as a warning sign for potential market weakness. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance When >2% YTD Return in January Bulls have reason to smile: historically, when the S&P 500 index rises more than 2% in January, it’s a good omen. Since 1951, such starts have led to average annual returns of 18.4%, with positive years 88% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
2 Year Calendarized S&P 500 Performance Starting in January The remarkable rise in the S&P 500 over the past two years is one of the strongest since 1928, bringing joy to market bulls. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance by January Return Bulls have reason to smile: Since 1950, when January has shown positive returns, the S&P 500 has ended the year positively 89% of the time, with an average annual gain of 19%. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle The U.S. stock market typically outperforms in the first two years of a President’s second term compared to a new President’s term, suggesting a potentially strong year for stocks and giving bulls reason to smile. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance The S&P 500 surged 2.91% last week, its best performance since November’s presidential election, setting a positive tone for the Trump’s inauguration. Historical data suggests potential continued market strength in the coming months. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Performance by Prior Year >10% and First 5 Days of January Performance The S&P 500 has historically shown strong performance following years of double-digit gains, when the first five trading days of the new year are positive. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 Performance vs. Forward EPS While long-term earnings are essential for driving stock prices over time, the influence of rising long-term yields cannot be overlooked. Image: Evercore ISI
S&P 500 Performance After 10 Days or More of Decliners > Advancers Bulls are smiling again! Since 1974, when the S&P 500 had more decliners than advancers for 10 or more consecutive days, it has been positive 100% of the time over the following 12 months, with an average gain of 17.9%. Image: Carson Investment…
S&P 500 Performance After Fed Cuts Within 2% of All-Time Highs Bulls rejoice! Since 1980, when the S&P 500 was within 2% of its all-time high during a Fed rate cut, it has been positive 100% of the time over the following 12 months, with an average gain of 13.9%. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance for All Republican Terms In Republican presidential terms, the S&P 500 tends to perform worse in the second half of the first year than in the first half, as policy impacts and economic realities set in. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC