S&P 500 Performance During Trump Years The S&P 500 under President Trump has often stumbled early, with lows clustering in late March. If that pattern holds, 2026 could still tilt higher, even as a new Fed chair and midterm noise keep volatility alive. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance During the 1980-2000 and 2013-Current Secular Bull Markets The S&P 500 has been rising since March 2013, but age alone doesn’t call the top. The last secular bull market ran nearly two decades. If history is any guide, this one may still have further to go. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After >5% YTD After April Since 1972, when the S&P 500 has been up more than 5% heading into May, it has ended the year higher 92% of the time, with a median gain of 10%. No wonder the bulls like those odds. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After April >5% Since 1950, a 5%+ April rally has set the tone: May has risen 90% of the time, and the rest of the year has posted a median return of 14.1%, giving bulls a solid tailwind. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance Since Start of the Year AI is no longer just a buzzword lifting mega-cap names, it is actively driving earnings growth and boosting productivity across corporate America. Since the start of the Q1 reporting season, the S&P 500 has gained 5.1%. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Performance After Back-To-Back 3% Weekly Gains Another sign the bottom may be behind us: the S&P 500 has just posted back‑to‑back weekly gains of more than 3%. Since 1950, stocks have been higher a year later in 13 of 15 similar cases, averaging a 14.1% return. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After 6-Day Win Streaks and Up 6% Six days up in a row and a 6% surge: history says that combo often bodes well for U.S. stocks, with median 12-month gains of 18% since 1950, enough to keep the bulls smiling. Image: Carson Investment Research
Average S&P 500 Performance After Oil Shocks On average, U.S. equities have tended to be under pressure in the months following major oil shocks, though the pattern is not uniform and depends heavily on whether the shock is large, persistent, and tied to broader macro stress. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Even when midterms shake investor sentiment, history leans bullish, with U.S. stocks up an average of 8.8% in second presidential terms since 1950. Midterm jitters often fade faster than many think. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance vs. EM and DM Ex-U.S. Equities Since the Middle East conflict began, the S&P 500 has left global peers behind, outperforming both emerging and developed ex‑U.S. markets. Investors still see the U.S. as a relatively safe haven amid the turmoil. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance When Q1 Low Breaks the December Low Close When the S&P 500 sinks below its December low in the first quarter, history tends to flash a warning light. On average, U.S. stocks have gained only 0.2% for the full year when that happens. Image: Carson Investment Research