S&P 500 Performance When Market Is Up 17% Through Oct. 15 When the S&P 500 is up 17% through October 15, the average gain through year-end is 3.1%, 82% of time since 1930. Picture source: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
S&P 500 Performance Leading to U.S. Election Date This table shows that over the last 20 election cycles in the U.S., there have been only two instances of market declines in the 12 months leading to the election results. Picture source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Performance When the First Two Rate Cuts Are 25 Basis Points Over 40 years, the S&P 500 returns over 6 and 12 months were all positive when the first two rate cuts were 25 bps. Picture source: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
S&P 500 Performance and Yield Curve Inversions Past yield curve inversions preceded top in SPX by about 11 months. Picture source: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Performance by President, from Reagan to Trump For President Trump, the stock market is a scorecard. This chart shows the S&P 500 performance across different presidencies, from Reagan to Trump. Picture source: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Performance Before and After Recessions since 1970 U.S. equities peaked about six months before the recession began. Picture source: Russell Investments
S&P 500 Performance Around Previous Fed Cuts This spreadsheet shows that the S&P 500 has performed well on average, around first Fed rate cut. Picture source: Barclays Research
S&P 500 Historical Performance in Different Yield Curve Regimes Great table showing the U.S. 10Y-2Y Treasury spread and the S&P 500 historical performance. Picture source: J.P. Morgan
S&P 500 Average Performance – Presidential Election Years and Incumbent Party Outcome The S&P 500 performance 90 days before the U.S. Presidential election is very accurate in predicting the election winner. If the S&P 500 is up in the 90 days leading to election day, the incumbent party usually wins. This is true for 90%…
S&P 500 Quarterly Performance by Presidential Cycle Chart showing the breakdown of the S&P 500 quarterly performance by presidential cycle since 1950. Picture source: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
