VIX and Geopolitical Risk Index The VIX tends to be sensitive to geopolitical events and can serve as an indicator of market sentiment during times of heightened geopolitical risk. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fed Staff Geopolitical Risk Index Geopolitical risk has risen significantly since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Change in Financial Conditions Following Major Geopolitical Events Will the Fed delay rate hikes and balance sheet reduction? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Price Returns in Periods of Elevated Geopolitical Uncertainty Historically, the impact of elevated geopolitical events on the S&P 500 has tended to be short-lived. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Index vs. Geopolitical Events If you listen to the news, there is always a good reason not to be invested in U.S. stocks Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Performance After Geopolitical and Major Historical Events If there is no recession, U.S. stocks tend to do well a year later after geopolitical and major historical events. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 Drawdown – Geopolitical Events and Stock Market Reactions Historically, the impact of geopolitical events on U.S. stocks has tended to be short-lived. Image: LPL Research
BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicator for Global Trade Tensions The recent decline of the indicator suggests that investors may be more complacent about the risk and impact of trade conflicts. Source: BlackRock Investment Institute – Global Investment Outlook Q2 2019
FMS Investors – Biggest “Tail Risk” FMS investors view geopolitical conflict as the biggest “tail risk” for the global economy, given their concern about its potential adverse impact on financial markets and investments. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Japan Stocks vs. China Stocks Despite economic challenges and geopolitical risks, Chinese equities have rallied over the past 3 months. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy