Search Results for: yield

U.S. Yield Curve Inversion and Market Drawdowns The U.S. stock market is expected to bottom out well after the 10Y-3M yield curve un-inverts. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. High Yield vs. Investment Grade Returns and Conference Board U.S. Leading Index Historically, the outperformance of high yield bonds relative to investment grade bonds has followed the Conference Board U.S. Leading Index. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Consecutive Trading Days of Inverted 10Y-2Y U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Should investors continue the countdown to the U.S. recession? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium – Consensus Bottoms Up Earnings Yield – 10-Year Treasury Yield Should investors switch from U.S. stocks to U.S. Treasury bonds? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. Yield Curve – Which Yield Spread Matters? Investors should care about an inverted yield curve, which has preceded every U.S. recession over the past 50 years. Image: Real Investment Advice

Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, increased to 41.8% in November. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

Recession – Percentage of U.S. Treasury Yield Curves Inverted More than 80% of yield curves are inverted. Recession risk in the United States rises significantly when the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 50%. Image: Charles Schwab

Percent of 10 Yield Curves Inverted Historically, when the number of inverted yield curves exceeds 60%, as it is today, a recession in the U.S. is coming soon. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 and U.S. 10-Year Real Yield Should investors remain bearish on the S&P 500? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Yield Curve – U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Government Bond Spread The 10Y-2Y inverted yield curve does not bode well at all for the U.S. economy. Image: The Daily Shot