The Federal Reserve and Financial Crisis
The Federal Reserve and Financial Crisis Historically, Fed cuts before a recession do not bode well for U.S. stock returns. Image: Real Investment Advice
The Federal Reserve and Financial Crisis Historically, Fed cuts before a recession do not bode well for U.S. stock returns. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Quarterly Net Margins Ex-Financials Will margins improve in the coming quarters? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Index vs. Financial Conditions Index Should investors forget Goldilocks, as it’s all about financial conditions? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Equity – U.S. Households Aggregate Financial Asset Allocation U.S. households’ equity allocation has increased and remains high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Impulse to Quarterly Annualized GDP Growth from Fiscal Policy and Financial Conditions Is a soft landing possible in 2023? The drag on U.S. GDP from monetary and fiscal policy tightening is expected to fade next year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bloomberg U.S. Financial Conditions Index Looser financial conditions will make it harder for the Fed to bring inflation back to 2%. Image: The Daily Shot
U.S. Private Sector Financial Assets % of GDP This chart highlights the obvious disconnect between Main Street and Wall Street, as the value of U.S. financial assets is 5.4 times the size of U.S. GDP. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Energy and Financials Stocks vs. Healthcare and Tech Stocks This chart highlights the secular rotation from healthcare/tech to energy/financials. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 vs. Financial Conditions U.S. financial conditions have eased meaningfully, coinciding with rising U.S. stock prices. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Recession – U.S. Real GDP and Financial Conditions Index (Leading Indicator) Financial conditions tend to lead U.S. real GDP by 3 months. Image: Alpine Macro