Deflation Assets and Inflation Assets
Deflation Assets and Inflation Assets Deflation assets outperformed inflation assets 3 out of past 15 years. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Deflation Assets and Inflation Assets Deflation assets outperformed inflation assets 3 out of past 15 years. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Inflation Assets and Deflation Assets Is inflation asset underperformance over? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Fed Deflation Probability (Inflation Below Zero) This chart suggests the high probability that the U.S. inflation rate will fall below zero over the next 12 months.
Inflation Assets vs. Deflation Assets The leadership remains deflationary, and the laggards remain inflationary. Deflation assets: government bonds, U.S. investment grade, S&P 500, U.S. consumer discretionary, growth and US high yield. Inflation assets: TIPS, EAFE, U.S. banks, value and cash. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Deflation Assets vs. Inflation Assets The leadership is still deflationary, and the laggards are inflationary. Deflation Assets: government bonds, U.S. investment grade, S&P 500, U.S. consumer discretionary, growth and US high yield.Inflation Assets: TIPS, EAFE, U.S. banks, value and cash. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
The Performance of “Deflation Assets” vs. “Inflation Assets” Interesting chart showing the performance of “Deflation Asset” vs. “Inflation Assets” since 1960. “Deflation Assets”: Government Bonds, US Investment Grade, S&P 500, US Consumer Discretionary, Growth and US High Yield “Inflation Assets”: TIPS, EAFE, US Banks, Value and Cash Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Is Inflation Dead? Deflation Fears Make A Comeback Is deflation on the horizon? Investors expect inflation running below 1.5% YoY for the next three years. Image: Arbor Research & Trading
Valuation and Inflation Investors in equities should fear too much inflation and deflation, as the sweet spot for inflation is about 2% per year. Image: Fidelity Investments
World Tech + E-commerce vs. World ex-Tech & E-commerce The secular trend in the market has been deflation (credit & tech) dominating inflation, as $100 of EPS in 1995 is now $1,500 in the technology sector, but only $425 in everything else. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
WTI Crude Oil and Headline CPI Inflation This chart suggests that falling oil prices could easily lead to deflation. Image: J.P. Morgan