Market – Biotech ETF vs. Real Estate ETF Price Relative How could investors determine a market reversal? Watch biotech (deflation) to print low vs. real estate (inflation). Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Valuation and Inflation Investors in equities should fear too much inflation and deflation, as the sweet spot for inflation is about 2% per year. Image: Fidelity Investments
WTI Crude Oil and Headline CPI Inflation This chart suggests that falling oil prices could easily lead to deflation. Image: J.P. Morgan
Money Supply and Inflation Aging is inflationary when caused by a decline in birth rate, and deflationary when caused by an increase in longevity. If the money supply grows faster than real output, then it causes inflation. And if there is a structural bottom for commodities and inflation, value could outperform growth. Image: Fidelity Investments
Growth and Inflation This chart shows the ISM Index vs. prices paid deviation from the mean since 2009. Currently, the U.S. manufacturing cycle has headed back into recession & deflation. Image: Fidelity Investments
Why Do Eurozone Bond Investors Accept Zero Long-Term Interest Rates? Because they have a deflationary view of the euro area economy. Now, investors are losing so much money just by holding German bonds in real terms (adjusted for inflation). Today, the Germany 10-Year bond yield hits 0% again. Keep in mind that raising interest rates in…