S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations Consensus expects S&P 500 earnings to rise 7% year on year in 4Q 2025, but results so far are tracking closer to 11%, lifted by stronger revenues. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street is riding a wave of optimism as analysts project S&P 500 earnings to climb 15% in both 2026 and 2027. But the real action may be in small caps, where profits are forecast to surge 67% this year and jump another 27% next. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s outlook for 2026 is bright, with analysts eyeing a 15% rise in S&P 500 earnings. While forecasts sound promising, markets often have surprises in store. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Russell 2000 Annual EPS Growth Analysts are betting big on 2026, forecasting a 60% surge in U.S. small-cap earnings, fueled by Fed easing, deregulation, and fiscal tailwinds. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Contribution to S&P 500 EPS Growth The seven biggest S&P 500 stocks are set to drive 46% of the index’s EPS growth in 2026, down slightly from a 50% share this year as the rest of the market shows signs of catching up. Image: Credit Suisse Research
Discretionary Investors Equity Positioning vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Discretionary investors are bracing for a sharp slowdown in earnings growth that’s increasingly hard to square with the data. If that gloom lifts, risk appetite could snap back and drive equities higher. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth, but the outsized premium that’s defined the trade might lose some of its shine in 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Fed Funds Rate and S&P 500 TTM EPS Growth Strong EPS growth, combined with Fed rate cuts, often fuels equities by reducing funding costs, boosting investment and sustaining earnings momentum—the classic drivers of bull markets. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 EPS Growth Analysts project 7% year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500 in both Q3 and Q4 of 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Consensus EPS Growth AI remains the dominant force behind S&P 500 earnings growth, with EPS projected to increase over the next three years, driven primarily by the Magnificent 7 and the broader technology sector. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Consensus EPS Growth Estimate Following the initial Magnificent Seven earnings report on April 22, analysts revised full-year earnings estimates upward by 1.8% for the Magnificent Seven, but downward by 0.8% for the other 493 companies in the S&P 500. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management