U.S. GDP Growth Goldman Sachs expresses strong confidence in the U.S. economy’s resilience and anticipates a more favorable growth outlook for U.S. GDP in 2024 and 2025 compared to consensus forecasts. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Composite PMI and EPS Growth The Global Composite PMI serves as a leading indicator for EPS growth, with its trends providing insights into future corporate earnings performance. Image: J.P. Morgan
Performance – Large Cap Growth vs. Small Cap Value Large-cap growth stocks are outperforming small-cap value stocks at a level not seen since the dot-com bubble era. Historical patterns and the potential for economic recovery indicate that this trend may change in the long term. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. GDP Growth BofA forecasts a robust U.S. GDP growth of 2.3% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) in Q2 2024, reflecting the bank’s confidence in the resilience of the American economy. Image: BofA Global Research
Deviation of Earnings Above/Below Long Term Growth Trend Some investors are becoming concerned as the current earnings estimates deviate significantly from the long-term growth trend, along with the effect of a Fed rate-cutting cycle. Image: Real Investment Advice
CAPE Valuations and Deviation from Exponential Growth Trend Previous peaks, characterized by deviations in price from the long-term exponential growth trend, can provide valuable insights into the market’s valuation and potential future trends. Image: Real Investment Advice
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning The stretched positioning of mega-cap growth and tech stocks has sparked concerns about excessive optimism and vulnerability to market corrections. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations The latest consensus estimate points to a 9% surge in S&P 500 EPS for the second quarter, marking the strongest growth since 2021. Will S&P 500 companies continue to beat analyst expectations? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Real Index vs. Exponential Growth Trend Are U.S. stocks in a bubble? The real S&P 500 price index is significantly much more extended from its long-term exponential growth trend than in the past. Image: Real Investment Advice
Wage Growth vs. U.S. Home Price Growth The widening gap between U.S. home prices and wage growth has significant implications for housing affordability and economic inequality, making it harder for lower-income individuals and families to afford homes. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis