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U.S. Jobs – Payroll Employment Lost and Regained The resurgence of the coronavirus pandemic has stalled the U.S. jobs recovery. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -7.58% YoY in December, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001 and 2007, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession began in the United States.

U.S. Job Posting Trend Index This chart highlights the impact of Covid-19 on the U.S. job posting trend. Image: BofA

U.S. Labor Market – Initial Jobless Claims The four-week moving average of jobless claims ticked higher, suggesting that the road to recovery is a long journey. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

U.S. Labor Market – Number of Jobs Lost U.S. workers face permanent job losses as the coronavirus pandemic persists. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Percent of Unemployed U.S. Workers that Expect to Return to Same Job Goldman Sachs expects that a quarter of temporary layoffs will become permanent. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Percent U.S. Job Losses in Post WWII Recessions The United States has recovered less than half the jobs lost during the coronavirus pandemic. Image: Calculated Risk

Length of Time before Jobs Fully Returned after a Recession The U.S. economy is probably bottoming out, but jobs may not come totally back for years. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC

Permanent Job Losers in the U.S. Permanent job losers continued to rise in June. Last time, it took three years for permanent job losses to peak. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. Job Losses – Payroll Trends by Wage Cohort Lower-wage workers in the United States have been hit harder by coronavirus job losses. Image: Morgan Stanley Research