Search Results for: job

Recession – U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims U.S. continuing jobless claims can serve as a warning sign of an upcoming recession. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. Job Openings vs. U.S. Implied Earnings Growth The decline in U.S. job openings may not bode well for earnings growth. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims U.S. initial unemployment claims are rising in states with tech and banks. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims The U.S. unemployment rate remains low so far, but initial jobless claims are on the rise. Image: The Daily Shot

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs at -3.81% YoY in April, are a good leading indicator before a recession (red line at -3.5%). In 2001, 2007 and 2020, when Temporary Help Services Jobs were below -3.5% YoY, a recession was on the horizon in the United States.

U.S. Continuing Jobless Claims The U.S. labor market is cooling, as continuing claims are up 22.5% YoY. Image: The Daily Shot

Fed Funds Rate vs. U.S. Job Openings (JOLTS) Declining employment and wage growth would allow the Fed to make aggressive cuts in interest rates. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

NFIB Small Business Availability Loans vs. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Investors should keep an eye on U.S. initial jobless claims, as they tend to correlate with loan availability to small businesses. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve and Initial Jobless Claims A steepening yield curve tends to occur when jobless claims surge. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Labor Market – Challenger U.S. Job Cut Announcements vs. Initial Jobless Claims U.S. job cuts are rising. Does it look like a soft landing at first? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy