Fiscal Policy Easing Response to Coronavirus Crisis
Fiscal Policy Easing Response to Coronavirus Crisis The U.S. fiscal response to the coronavirus crisis is massive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fiscal Policy Easing Response to Coronavirus Crisis The U.S. fiscal response to the coronavirus crisis is massive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global GDP Growth Outlook – Trade Tensions vs. Policy Easing The escalation of trade tensions is a risk to the global economy outlook. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Labor Market – Nonfarm Payrolls Growth in the Month That the Fed Starts Easing Policy The recent rise in payroll numbers is surprising given the Fed’s easing of interest rates. Usually, strong job growth coincides with tighter monetary policy, but the current situation reveals a notable divergence. Image: Deutsche Bank
Fiscal Policy – Discretionary Fiscal Easing in Response to Coronavirus Crisis This chart puts into perspective the U.S. fiscal stimulus relative to other countries. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Central Bank Policy Rate Changes Goldman Sachs has revised its forecast regarding interest rate policies, suggesting significant declines in policy rates across most economies over the next 12 months, driven by easing inflation and slowing economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Interest Rates – Central Bank Policy Rate Hikes vs. Cuts Emerging market central banks typically take the lead in initiating monetary tightening and easing cycles. In 2024, their approach has shifted away from aggressive easing. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Median Policy Rate Projections in the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections The anticipation of rate cuts in 2024 and beyond is generally viewed as bullish for equity markets, as it signals a potential easing of monetary policy that can support economic growth and stock prices. Image: BofA Global Research
Interest Rates – Policy Rate Cut vs. Policy Rate Hiked Global rate hikes are increasing. Should investors expect more rate hikes to come? Image: Bloomberg
Emerging Markets Monetary Policy vs. Economic Cycle (Leading Indicator) Chart suggesting that EM monetary policy easing is likely to increase economic activity in the coming months. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note Produces Extremely High Sharpe Ratio During Shifts to Easing This chart shows the high sharpe ratio of U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note during easing policy shifts. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Fed Monetary Policy Rate Change over 6 Months Prices in (Futures) vs. Actual Actually, the Fed decides when to raise rates, but the market decides when to cut rates. This chart shows that rate expectations are highly predictive six months in advance. You may also like “Markets Have Accurately Priced in Cuts before Easing Cycles…