Search Results for: fed funds

Expected Fed Funds Rate Fed funds futures for January 2021 imply an expected rate of 1.18%. Click the Image to Enlarge

Change in Fed Funds Rate The Fed has cut rates by 100 bps to 0.00-0.25%. This is the biggest rate cut in modern times. Image: Danske Research

Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC March 18 Meeting Traders see a 17.7% probability of a 25-bps rate cut at the Fed’s FOMC March 18 meeting. Image: CME Group

Fed Funds Rate Less Core PCE and Real U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Chart suggesting that monetary policy is becoming too tight. Image: Danske Research

12-Month Earnings Yield Less Fed Funds Rate The 12-month earnings yield less Fed funds rate is just back to its historical average. Image: KKR Global Macro

Gold vs. Fed Funds Futures Chart showing the current divergence between gold and the implied Fed funds rate. Image: Longview Economics

Fed Funds Rate Expectations Muted inflation and moderation in job growth could support a Fed rate cut in June. Image: Oxford Economics

Fed Funds vs. Private Sector Wage Growth The last three U.S. economic expansions ended with the Federal Reserve hiking to curb wage growth, but not this time. That’s quite bullish. Image: BofA Global Research

Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500 High wage growth and accomodative monetary policy suggest a return to the sweet spot for the S&P 500. Image: Topdown Charts

Leading Economic Index (LEI) and Fed Funds Rate Will the Fed’s three rate cuts be enough to lift the U.S. economy? Image: Oxford Economics