GS Bear Market Risk Indicator Goldman Sachs’s bear market risk indicator is still at a high level. Above 60 percent, it suggests that investors should be cautious on the market. A blue line shows a bear market and/or a recession. Picture source: Goldman Sachs
Projecting the Bull and Bear Market If a US-China trade deal is reached, this chart suggests a rally to the long-term bullish trend line at 3300. Picture source: Real Investment Advice
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Excellent chart showing that inflation-adjusted bull markets are almost completely wiped out by the subsequent bear market. Picture source: Real Investment Advice
Real S&P 500 Total Return and Bear Markets Very good chart showing the real S&P 500 total return and the time frame to recover from major bear markets, since 1900. Picture source: Real Investment Advice
GS Asia Bear Market Risk Indicator – Recession Risk The GS Asia Bear Market Risk Indicator rose to 75% in August. Bear market risk is rising. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Bull and Bear Markets In recent history, past bear markets have been shorter than bull markets. Picture source: Charles Schwab
Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets Interesting chart showing the average return before and after equity market peaks from 1945 to 2018. You may also like “First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975.” Picture source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Fear Of Recessions? S&P 500 Bull and Bear Markets since 1946 A long-term investor should put downturns in perspective. Picture source: Charles Schwab
S&P 500 – The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog If the Fed cuts rate as expected, this chart suggests where the U.S. stock market (S&P 500) could go next. Picture source: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Chart suggesting that the current business cycle’s end is not imminent in the U.S.. The risk of a bear market is low when the number of market cycle indicators is greater than 10. Picture source: Richardson GMP
