S&P 500 Bull and Bear Markets

S&P 500 Bull and Bear Markets In recent history, past bear markets have been shorter than bull markets. Picture source: Charles Schwab

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator

GS Bear Market Risk Indicator Goldman Sachs’s bear market risk indicator is still at a high level. Above 60 percent, it suggests that investors should be cautious on the market. A blue line shows a bear market and/or a recession. Picture source: Goldman Sachs

Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets

Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets Interesting chart showing the average return before and after equity market peaks from 1945 to 2018. You may also like “First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975.” Picture source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Equity Market Driven by Bonds Not Profits

Equity Market Driven by Bonds Not Profits The chart shows a widening gap between cyclicals and bond proxies. It is clearly a cyclical bear market within a bull market, as during the dotcom bubble. Picture source: Societe Generale Asset Research

First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975

First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975 The chart shows that the S&P 500 has generated a 26.9% return on average, in the final years of bull markets since 1975, excluding the current bull market. You may also like “Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets.” Picture source: Legg Mason

The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog

The 1994-1998-2011 Mini-Bear Analog If the Fed cuts rate as expected, this great chart shows where the U.S stock market (S&P 500) could go next. Picture source: Fidelity Investments

New Secular Bull Market?

New Secular Bull Market? This chart shows a perspective on secular bull and bear markets since 1930. Picture Source: ClearBridge Investments

Market Cycle Indicators

Market Cycle Indicators The current business cycle’s end is also not imminent in the U.S.. The risk of a bear market is low when the number of market cycle indicators is greater than 10. Currently, it also suggests no imminent recession. Picture source: Richardson GMP