10Y-3M Yield Curve Inversion and S&P 500 Operating EPS

10Y-3M Yield Curve Inversion and S&P 500 Operating EPS The inversion of the yield curve between 3-month and 10-year Treasurys is not good news for S&P 500 operating EPS  (90D means 3-month T-bill). The 50 day moving average removes false signals since 1967. Image: Stifel

Sovereign Ratings Map

Sovereign Ratings Map Interesting map of sovereign ratings across the world in July 2019, using Moody’s ratings. Source: Moody’s Sovereign Ratings, Aswath Damodaran

S&P 500 Quarterly Operating Earnings Expectations

S&P 500 Quarterly Operating Earnings Expectations Despite the earnings squeeze, the Fed’s dovish pivot and low interest rates should continue to support the stock market. Image: Bianco Research

S&P 500 Operating Earnings / NIPA Profits and S&P 500 Returns

S&P 500 Operating Earnings / NIPA Profits and S&P 500 Returns Interesting chart suggesting that S&P500 2-year returns will be negative, as they were in the late 1990s, when S&P 500 operating earnings rose relative to NIPA profits (thanks to buybacks). Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

S&P 500 Operating Earnings per Share

S&P 500 Operating Earnings per Share The S&P 500 quarterly operating earnings per share are Standard & Poors consensus analyst expectations as of 30 June 2019. Picture Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating Since the Great Recession, the U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. If the U.S. economy goes wrong, this is bad news for investors. Image: The Wall Street Journal

U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019

U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019 Since 2008, this chart shows that U.S. leveraged loans are getting lower ratings. Any drop in the credit ratings could also amplify the next recession. Image: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary & Data, UBS

The Treadmill of U.S. Oil Shale

The Treadmill of U.S. Oil Shale Chart suggesting that the treadmill of U.S. shale is accelerating. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research