Sovereign Ratings Map

Sovereign Ratings Map Interesting map of sovereign ratings across the world in July 2019, using Moody’s ratings. Source: Moody’s Sovereign Ratings, Aswath Damodaran

S&P 500 Quarterly Operating Earnings Expectations

S&P 500 Quarterly Operating Earnings Expectations Despite the earnings squeeze, the Fed’s dovish pivot and low interest rates should continue to support the stock market. Picture source: Bianco Research

S&P 500 Operating Earnings / NIPA Profits and S&P 500 Returns

S&P 500 Operating Earnings / NIPA Profits and S&P 500 Returns Interesting chart suggesting that S&P500 2-year returns will be negative, as they were in the late 1990s, when S&P 500 operating earnings rose relative to NIPA profits (thanks to buybacks). Picture source: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

S&P 500 Operating Earnings per Share

S&P 500 Operating Earnings per Share The S&P 500 quarterly operating earnings per share are Standard & Poors consensus analyst expectations as of 30 June 2019. Picture Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating

Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating Since the Great Recession, the U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. If the U.S. economy goes wrong, this is bad news for investors. Picture source: The Wall Street Journal

U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019

U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019 Since 2008, this chart shows that U.S. leveraged loans are getting lower ratings. Any drop in the credit ratings could also amplify the next recession. Picture source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary & Data, UBS

Earnings, Margins and Valuation

Earnings, Margins and Valuation Considering earnings growth, operating margin and valuation, the S&P 500 should remain under pressure until Q3 earnings season. Picture source: Fidelity Investments

Corporate Leverage in the U.S.

Corporate Leverage in the U.S. U.S. corporate debt is high. This chart shows that U.S. corporate leverage is close to its previous peak on a net debt to EBITDA. You may also like “U.S. Leveraged Loan Index Rating Breakdown: 2008 vs. 2019.” Picture source: Credit Suisse Research

The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion

The U.S. Corporate Bond Debt Rated ‘BBB’ Exceeds $3 trillion The U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. That’s 53% of investment-grade bonds in the United States. Keep in mind that any drop in the credit ratings could amplify the next recession: many investment grade investors own BBB-rated bonds, but are not allowed…