U.S. IG Credit Spread

U.S. IG Credit Spread The S&P 500 tends to fall when credit spreads widen. It is therefore a leading indicator to watch closely. Image: Topdown Charts

Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market

Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market Despite the Fed’s support, credit spreads remain above their pre-COVID-19 levels and may be taking a cue from the U.S. labor market. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

VIX vs. IG Credit Spread and S&P 500

VIX vs. IG Credit Spread and S&P 500 This chart shows that the VIX has realigned with the IG credit spread, but not with the S&P 500. Image: Deutsche Bank

Credit Spreads on High-Quality U.S. Corporates

Credit Spreads on High-Quality U.S. Corporates Credit spreads on high-quality U.S. corporates are widening and are flashing a warning sign for markets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads and Recessions

U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads and Recessions Chart suggesting that there is little recession fear baked into U.S. high yield credit spreads at the moment. Image: J.P. Morgan

A Widening of High Yield Credit Spreads Is Very Useful to Predict a Recession

A Widening of High Yield Credit Spreads Is Very Useful to Predict a Recession Like a yield curve inversion and real interest rates above real GDP, a widening of high yield credit spreads is very useful to predict a recession. At the present time, the bond market is not concerned about credit risk.