U.S. 30-Year Government Bond Returns The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is currently experiencing a challenging period in terms of its annual return, as it is on track for the 3rd worst annual return since 1919. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Coporate vs. Government Bond Returns Since March 2020, U.S. corporate bonds have significantly outperformed government bonds. Will this trend continue in the coming months? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Long-Term Government Bond Returns The 10-year annualized return from U.S. Treasuries is at a 65-year low of just 0.6%, prompting investors to reassess portfolio allocation and risk management strategies. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Global Government Debt Global government debt has skyrocketed since the global financial crisis, reaching its highest level in peacetime and posing significant challenges and vulnerabilities for governments and economies worldwide. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Nominal GDP Less Government Budget Deficit While fiscal spending in the United States has the potential to boost GDP growth, it is important to carefully consider the long-term implications and trade-offs associated with such policies. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Annual Returns Never before has the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond experienced three consecutive years of annual declines. Is this time different? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Federal Government Fiscal Balance Running deficits over an extended period of time is not a sustainable fiscal policy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Gold – Beta of USD/xxx to Equity Market Volatility Related to Government Spending Gold has been a very good hedge against debt ceiling worries in the past. Image: Deutsche Bank
Equity Market Volatility Related to Uncertainty over Government Spending Equity market volatility may spike when the debt ceiling is under discussion. Image: Deutsche Bank
Yield Curve – U.S. 10-Year – 2-Year Government Bond Spread Historically, the re-steepening of the 10Y-2Y U.S. Treasury yield curve from the trough has preceded recessions. Image: The Daily Shot
Ownership of U.S. Government Bond Market Foreign investors remain the larger owners of U.S. Treasuries. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research