Average Daily Equity ETF Flow vs. S&P 500 Performance Despite the S&P 500’s decline in Q1 2025, investors continued pouring money into equity ETFs, averaging nearly $3bn daily inflows—a sign of persistent appetite for U.S. equities amid volatility. Image: Strategas Research Partners
S&P 500 Average Monthly Return Above and Below 200-Day Moving Average Historically, the S&P 500 has performed well in April, averaging gains of over 2% since 1950 when starting below its 200-day moving average. Image: Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. and Bloomberg
S&P 500 Yearly Returns The “rule of 10 best days” illustrates the dangers of market timing. Since 1990, missing just the 10 best trading days each year would have turned the S&P 500’s positive returns into substantial annual losses, averaging 12.5%. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After Five Consecutive Days of a 1% Daily Move and All Above the 200-Day MA Historically, when the S&P 500 has experienced five consecutive days of 1% moves while remaining above its 200-day MA, it has performed well over the following six months, averaging an 11.0% gain and rising 91.7% of the…
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based On What The First Five Days Do A bullish start to the year for the S&P 500 is often seen as a good omen. When the index rises in the first five trading days, it has historically led to stronger annual returns, averaging 14.2% and being positive 81.3% of the…
Implied Fed Funds Target Rate The Fed has revised its 2025 projections, now anticipating only two rate cuts instead of four, with future reductions dependent on the progress made in managing inflation. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Year-End Return After Rising Over 20% Year-to-Date Historically, after the S&P 500 has risen more than 20%, the average return from now until December 31 tends to be modest, averaging around 1% since the 1970s. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Performance After 6-Week Win Streaks Since 1950, 6-week win streaks have generally been bullish for U.S. stocks, averaging an 11.1% increase in value one year later, which gives investors strong reasons to expect a positive 2025. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns After Higher 10 of 11 Months Since 1950, when the S&P 500 has been up 10 of the past 11 months using the first signal in a cluster, it has shown a strong tendency to be higher one year later, averaging a gain of 14.7%. Image: Carson Investment Research
China GDP Growth Consensus Estimates GDP upgrades are likely to spur interest in China’s markets, encouraging asset allocation towards sectors that align with the country’s economic transformation. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Corporate Client Buybacks as a % of S&P 500 Market Capitalization BofA’s corporate clients are currently engaging in significant stock buyback activities, marking an all-time high. This trend is generally perceived as a positive indicator for the broader market. Image: BofA Securities