S&P 500 Day of Month Seasonality Returns Considering seasonality, it would not be surprising to see a bounce-back in the S&P 500 in early June, as historically, this period has demonstrated a trend of positive returns. Image: BofA Global Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in May The middle of May is historically a period of weakness for U.S. stocks, while the end of May typically exhibits strength. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 3-Month Seasonal Returns and Presidential Cycle Year 4 June to August historically shines during election years, as it represents the strongest 3-month period in the fourth year of the presidential cycle, up 75% of the time with an average return of 7.27% since 1928. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets The sell-in-May effect may be more relevant in bear markets. In bull markets, it may be seen as a missed opportunity for potential gains, given the positive momentum and upward trends typically observed in the market. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 – Election Year Seasonality During election years, the S&P 500 tends to trend sideways in Q1. Investors are typically cautious about the potential outcomes of the upcoming elections and tend to adopt a more conservative approach. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a strong month for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 vs. Its Seasonal Pattern While past performance does not guarantee future results, can the U.S. stock market continue to follow its seasonal pattern? Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 6-Month Seasonality November through April is considered the optimal 6-month period for the S&P 500, as historical analysis suggests stronger performance compared to the other six months of the year. Image: BofA Global Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 % Change As cash and T-bills currently offer an attractive yield, should investors “sell in May and go away” this year? Image: TS Lombard
Seasonality – Average Rolling Monthly S&P 500 Return Sell in May this year? Since 1950, the average annualized return of the S&P 500 from May through October has been 5%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets – 3rd Year of U.S. Election Cycle Only Both bulls and bears may be frustrated this year. Image: Topdown Charts