Concentration – Top 10, Top 3 and Top 1 as % of Total (In Terms of Total Equity Market Capitalization) China has one of the lowest market capitalization concentrations worldwide, with its top ten companies comprising only 17% of total market cap—much less than the US’s 34%—indicating greater growth potential in China. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Concentration – Top 10 as % of Total (In Terms of Total Equity Market Capitalization) Compared to the U.S. market, China’s equity market currently shows a historically low level of market capitalization concentration, indicating greater growth potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Share of Global Market Capitalization The United States’ 64% global equity market share stems from strong corporate earnings, technological innovation, deep capital markets, and global revenue exposure, driving its dominant influence on global finance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Developed Market Valuations While the macroeconomic outlook has weakened, the U.S. stock market’s forward P/E ratio has moved back toward pre-Liberation Day levels. Image: TS Lombard
Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance U.S. equity investors remain highly risk-averse in June 2025, with bearish short-term return expectations, largely driven by political and macroeconomic uncertainties. Image: S&P Global Market Intelligence
Interest Rates – Market Pricing for the Number of Fed Rate Cuts Investors should expect only one 25bps Fed rate cut for the remainder of 2025, most likely in September, unless there is a significant deterioration in economic data or a sharp rise in unemployment. Image: The Daily Shot
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past five decades, five bull markets have lasted over two years, averaging 8 years and gaining 288%. Since the current bull market is just 32 months old and has risen 68%, it may still have plenty of room to grow. Image: Carson Investment Research
New Bull Markets Start (20% Off Bear Lows or Near Bear Lows) and What Happened Next for the S&P 500 Bulls have reason to be optimistic, as the S&P 500’s rally of over 20% from its April 8th low follows a historical pattern that has nearly always resulted in higher prices a year later, with…
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started The current bull market, which began in October 2022, remains relatively young by historical standards and could persist much longer than bearish observers expect. Image: Carson Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization The elevated median short interest in the S&P 500 for 2025 suggests that investors are more cautious, but it does not yet signal widespread bearishness or panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Yearly Performance During Bull Markets Historically, the first two years of a bull market tend to deliver robust returns. While the third year may test investors’ patience, historical trends suggest that better times often follow. Image: Carson Investment Research Click the Image to Enlarge