Valuation – S&P 500 Based on Rule of 20 According to the historically reliable “Rule of 20,” the market is fairly valued when the P/E ratio plus the inflation rate equals 20. By this measure, the S&P 500’s fair value is about 4,600 today. Image: Bloomberg
Valuation – Equal-Weight S&P 500 P/E Multiple According to Goldman Sachs, the equal-weight S&P 500 P/E multiple is currently 13% above fair value. This suggests that stocks in the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index may be relatively more expensive compared to their earnings potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Ratio of 3-Month to 6-Month Realized Volatilities for Bitcoin vs. the Corresponding Volatilities for Gold According to J.P. Morgan, the current fair value for Bitcoin based on a volatility ratio of Bitcoin to gold is US$23,000. Image: J.P. Morgan
Outlook 2020: S&P 500 Target, GDP Growth Estimate and 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield LPL expects 1.75% U.S. GDP growth in 2020. The S&P 500 Index fair value target range is 3,200–3,300 by year-end 2020, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield target range is 2-2.25%. Image: LPL Research
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-long-term-forecast.mp4 This great long-term forecast model displays the annual and total return expected for the next 10 years with a high degree of confidence This advanced model makes a forecast for the next 12 months, next 3 years, next 5 years, and next 10 years, with dividends reinvested. For each period, it displays the annual…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-short-term-forecast.mp4 This great tool shows the US stock market forecast for the next 12 months and the probability This advanced mathematical model extracts insights from multiple financial data and suggests a stock market short-term forecast for the next 12 months with a very high degree of confidence. This great prediction model is updated daily, with…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-valuation.mp4 This powerful model looks into the US stock market and alerts if it is overvalued or undervalued The model shows the valuation percentage to the right and to the left. In the middle, it shows what the probability of each event happening is. Probability is a way to show how often an event will…
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Crude Oil (USO) Oil and yields have moved together since the Middle East conflict started in February. But that correlation often weakens once tensions cool. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Valuation and Inflation This chart suggests that the S&P 500 is fairly valued based on current inflation. Image: Truist