S&P 500 – Margin Debt Expansion vs. Contraction A decline in margin debt has historically signaled impending market turbulence, as margin debt levels often reflect investor confidence and risk appetite. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Economic Expansions and Recessions There has been a general trend towards less frequent recessions in the United States over recent decades, which reflects the evolving nature of the U.S. economy and its resilience in the face of potential downturns Image: USAFacts
Fed Balance Sheet Expansion/Contraction vs. S&P 500 The contraction of the Fed’s balance sheet tends to be a headwind for the S&P 500, as reduced liquidity in the financial system may have negative implications for equity markets. Image: Real Investment Advice
The Evolution of Recession and Expansion Lengths Long expansions are not necessarily followed by deeper recessions. Image: Scotiabank GBM Portfolio Strategy
Percent of Time the S&P 500 Has Risen during Economic Expansions Economic expansions tend to be bullish for the S&P 500. Image: Truist
U.S. Expansions and Recessions The coronavirus recession lasted only two months, which is by far the shortest U.S. recession on record. Image: Oxford Economics
% of Potential GDP and Federal Deficit + Balance Sheet Expansion Will the U.S. economy slow down much more in 2022 than people think? Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC
U.S. Federal Deficit and Balance Sheet Expansion Is the U.S. fiscal and monetary policy response to the COVID-19 crisis appropriate to ensure continued economic growth? Image: Deutsche Bank
Economic Cycle – U.S. Economic Expansion Economic cycles of growth can last many years, with an average of more than five years. Image: LPL Research
Fed Expansion as a Share of S&P 500 Market Capitalization Fed’s purchases are positive for the stock market, but as a share of S&P 500 market capitalization, they are less than during the 2008-2009 period. Image: J.P. Morgan
The Longest U.S. Economic Expansion The longest U.S. economic expansion on record may see its end due to coronavirus spread. Image: Oxford Economics