After-Tax Nonfinancial Corporate Profits as Share of Gross Value Added While U.S. corporate profits fell in Q1 2025 due to higher costs and economic uncertainty, they remain historically high, reflecting both the strength and the vulnerability of large companies in the current economic climate. Image: Bloomberg
Cumulative Change in Real S&P 500 and Real Profits The widening gap between the real S&P 500 index and real corporate profits is raising red flags about a potential stock market bubble. Image: Real Investment Advice
EPS Growth – Political Party and S&P 500 Profits Cycle While election results can impact markets in the short term, the underlying profitability of companies is a stronger driver of stock prices over time. Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets Foreign markets account for 13% of US corporate profits, while emerging markets contribute 4%. Yet, trade uncertainties and recent tariffs may threaten these contributions moving forward. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % Say Global Profits Will Improve vs. ISM Manufacturing New Orders/Inventories There is a growing belief among FMS investors that global profits will improve in the future, which is encouraging. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
ISM Composite Index vs. Corporate Profits The decline in the ISM Composite Index indicates a weakening of the U.S. economy, which could lead to lower corporate profits. Image: Merrill Lynch Wealth Management
Corporate Profits After Tax vs. S&P 500 The gap between the S&P 500 and corporate profits after tax remains wide. Has the S&P 500 more room to fall? Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Corporate Sector Profits vs. CEO Confidence Weak CEO confidence suggests that U.S. corporate profits are at risk. Image: Longview Economics
Earnings – Conference Board CEO Confidence vs. U.S. Corporate Profits YoY Change Should investors be worried about an earnings recession? CEO confidence doesn’t bode well for U.S. corporate profits. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
After-Tax Corporate Profits as a Share of GDP Profit margins have risen sharply to an all-time high in the third quarter of 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 – 2021E Sales and Profits Relative to 2019 Levels Will earnings growth drive the S&P 500 higher by the end of 2021? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research