S&P 500 Performance (May – October) Broken Down by Presidential Cycle Sell in May and go away? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown an average return of 2.3% during the period from May through…
S&P 500 and Leveraged Long vs. Short ETF Volumes The degree of activity in leveraged long vs. short U.S. equity ETFs has experienced a substantial decline as sentiment shifts. Image: Topdown Charts
Median S&P 500 Performance Since 2000, the median S&P 500 performance after 6 consecutive declines has been 8.9% over the next 6 months, indicating a potential for a significant rebound and recovery in the stock…
U.S. Economy A recent Deutsche Bank survey found that 45% of participants predict a “no-landing” scenario for the U.S. economy by the end of 2024. This suggests no recession and inflation will remain above the…
U.S. Nominal GDP The strength of U.S. nominal GDP has been crucially supported by fiscal and monetary policies, along with other contributing factors. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Russell 2000 Forward P/E vs. Subsequent 10-Year Annualized Returns Should long-term investors increase their allocation to U.S. small-cap stocks, given the potential for 9% annualized ten-year returns suggested by the absolute forward P/E for the…
Bitcoin vs. Gold Bitcoin’s current price shares similarities with the price of gold in the 1970s. Image: Alpine Macro
S&P 500 and the Percentage of Stocks Above 10-Day MAs The rise in the percentage of S&P 500 stocks above their 10-day moving averages can be interpreted as a tactical bullish divergence, providing valuable insights…
U.S. CPI Inflation The BofA Credit Manager Survey indicates that 50% of respondents expect balanced U.S. inflation risks for the remainder of 2024, which can have implications for investment and risk management strategies in the…
High-Yield Bonds vs. 200-Day Moving Average In search of higher returns, investors have been pursuing riskier investments through high yield bonds. While this strategy can be rewarding, it also exposes them to increased vulnerability if…
FMS Investors – Net % Expecting Lower Long-Term Rates Only 38% of FMS investors expect bond yields to decrease, while the majority anticipate stable or potentially higher bond yields. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey