The Best 20 Months for the S&P 500 and What Happened Next The impressive performance of the S&P 500 in November could have bulls smiling for the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After a New All-Time High After More a Full Year Without One Historically, when the S&P 500 index has reached new highs following a period of more than a year without achieving…
S&P 500 Performance After a Monthly Gain of >8% Historically, when the S&P 500 gains more than 8% in a month, it tends to perform well in the following 12 months. On average, it has…
Cumulative Fund Flows When “risk-free” rates are high, investors prefer low-risk assets as the higher returns from “risk-free” investments make them more appealing, reducing the attractiveness of riskier assets. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Max Drawdown During Recessions Recessions can have a significant impact on stocks, causing pain for investors, with the majority of losses occurring within the actual recession period. Image: BofA Global Research
Flow – % Share of Rolling One-Month ETF Inflows Investors continue to put their money into large and mid-cap equity funds, as evidenced by their behavior reflected in ETF flows over the past month. Image:…
Time Series of the S&P 500, Highlighting Periods of Stress and Response from Central Banks Post the 2013 Taper Tantrum, the interventions by central banks during market dips provided buying opportunities for investors to generate…
S&P 500 Price Forecasts vs. Market Pricing Goldman Sachs, in its base case scenario, forecasts that the S&P 500 will reach a level of 4,700 by the end of 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
S&P 500 Stocks and Non-S&P 500 Stocks as a % of U.S. Large Cap Funds AUM Despite the abundance of stocks, the lack of interest in investing beyond the “Magnificent Seven” creates bias, leading to…
Financial Conditions and U.S. Recessions The Fed may face challenges due to looser financial conditions, as it requires tighter conditions in order to effectively curb inflation towards its 2% target. Will the Fed adopt a…
S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a…