Market Sentiment (AAII) Are AAII investors too bearish? The S&P 500 is up 30%, but there are now more bears than at the March lows. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. High Yield Spreads vs. IG Spreads and Large Cap Growth Relative to Small Cap Value This chart suggests that new highs in stocks need high yield outperformance and sustained rotation from large cap growth…

Long/Short Hedge Fund Beta to S&P 500 The long/short hedge fund beta to S&P 500 remains very low. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Retail Sales in March-April 2020 U.S. retail sales from March to April is dramatic and tumbled by a record 16.4%. Image: Oxford Economics

Projection of Treasury Issuance and Fed’s Purchases Deutsche Bank expects that Fed demand alone will outstrip Treasury supply by approximately $900 billion over the rest of 2020. Image: Deutsche Bank

European IPOs This chart highlights the sharp slowdown in European IPO activity. Image: Financial Times

Global Online Retailers vs. S&P 500 Indexed Price Return Global online retailers saw rise in traffic during the coronavirus pandemic. They have outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cash on the Sidelines in Money Market Mutual Funds How much cash is sitting in money market mutual funds, waiting to come back to the market? $4.8 trillion, which is about 16% of market capitalization.…

Inflation Assets vs. Deflation Assets The leadership remains deflationary, and the laggards remain inflationary. Deflation assets: government bonds, U.S. investment grade, S&P 500, U.S. consumer discretionary, growth and US high yield. Inflation assets: TIPS, EAFE,…

Change in Global Oil Stocks Global oil inventory appear to have be peaking. Goldman Sachs forecasts that excess inventories will have peaked at 1,075 mb with a draw of 60 mb in June. Image: Goldman…

Average Performance by S&P 500 Quality Ranks when the Profits Cycle Decelerated Historically, high quality stocks (A+) have outperformed when the profits cycle decelerates, as investors tend to pay up for stable earnings growth. Image:…