G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities
G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities This chart suggests that G4 central bank stimulus would support emerging markets equities in 2020 (R = 0.94 since 2016). Image: BofA Global Research
G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities This chart suggests that G4 central bank stimulus would support emerging markets equities in 2020 (R = 0.94 since 2016). Image: BofA Global Research
No One Loses Money in China? That’s pretty curious. Very few Chinese companies appear to have a negative return on equity (ROE) compared to NYSE listed firms. Image: Wind Information
DHL Global Trade Barometer The DHL Global Trade Barometer is a leading indicator for the future development of global trade, suggesting a protracted but mild decline of world trade. You may also like “Recession Indicators.”…
U.S. Corporate Profits vs. Assets U.S. corporate profits are near 20-year lows relative to fixed assets. The alternative to a recovery in corporate profits is the increasing risk of recession. Image: BofA Global Research
How Major Central Banks Will Change Interest Rates by the End of 2020 Chart suggesting that 2020 appears to be a quieter year for monetary policy. Image: Bloomberg
Wage Growth vs. Fed Funds Target Rate and S&P 500 High wage growth and accomodative monetary policy suggest a return to the sweet spot for the S&P 500. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Job Growth and Business Cycles Chart showing that U.S. job growth has recovered more slowly than in previous cycles. Image: CNBC
U.S. Job Growth vs. Population Growth and Recessions U.S. job growth continues to outpace population growth and does not point to an impending recession. Image: BLS
Global Earnings Growth Chart showing that the gap between U.S. earnings growth and non-U.S. earnings growth is narrowing. Image: Fidelity Investments
High-Yield Credit Returns A good year for high-yield credit returns, but Moody’s has warned that high-yield bonds appear to be expensive relative to fundamentals. Image: Financial Times
Which Topics are of Rising Interest According to Investment-Focused Searches? This chart shows the share of rising search interest by topic, according to investment-focused searches. Most interest is in fixed income and ETFs. Image: Arbor…