G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities

G4 Central Bank QE and Emerging Markets Equities This chart suggests that G4 central bank stimulus would support emerging markets equities in 2020 (R = 0.94 since 2016). Image: BofA Global Research

No One Loses Money in China?

No One Loses Money in China? That’s pretty curious. Very few Chinese companies appear to have a negative return on equity (ROE) compared to NYSE listed firms. Image: Wind Information

DHL Global Trade Barometer

DHL Global Trade Barometer The DHL Global Trade Barometer is a leading indicator for the future development of global trade, suggesting a protracted but mild decline of world trade. You may also like “Recession Indicators.”…

U.S. Corporate Profits vs. Assets

U.S. Corporate Profits vs. Assets U.S. corporate profits are near 20-year lows relative to fixed assets. The alternative to a recovery in corporate profits is the increasing risk of recession. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Job Growth and Business Cycles

U.S. Job Growth and Business Cycles Chart showing that U.S. job growth has recovered more slowly than in previous cycles. Image: CNBC

Global Earnings Growth

Global Earnings Growth Chart showing that the gap between U.S. earnings growth and non-U.S. earnings growth is narrowing. Image: Fidelity Investments

High Yield Credit Returns

High-Yield Credit Returns A good year for high-yield credit returns, but Moody’s has warned that high-yield bonds appear to be expensive relative to fundamentals. Image: Financial Times