Search Results for: sentiment

Seasonality of U.S. Equity Market Sentiment Index This chart puts into perspective the seasonal pattern in U.S. equity sentiment. Image: Nomura

AAII Bullish Sentiment 2009-2020 Optimism among individual investors is now the highest since October 2018. Image: Bespoke Investment Group

U.S. AAII Sentiment Survey and S&P 500 This chart shows that market sentiment is important to contrarian investors. Image: Pictet Asset Management

Business and Industrial Sentiment vs. U.S. GDP Chart suggesting that business and industrial surveys have not explained U.S. economic growth over the past decade (R² = 0). Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

World Consumer Sentiment and Real World GDP Growth World consumer sentiment change is back to neutral and suggests a rebound in world GDP growth. Image: Pictet Asset Management

BofA Fund Managers Sentiment vs. MSCI ACWI TR Fund managers are euphoric about the future state of the global economy, but the chart suggests that the euphoria has not yet reached the warning zone. Image: Tomasz Hońdo

U.S. Home Builder Sentiment – NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index Lower mortgage rates help the housing market and boost home builder sentiment. Image: Leonard Kiefer

Sentiment on Durable Goods Purchases Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that sentiment on durable goods purchases lead the unemployment rate by 12 months, and that the U.S. economy seems to be moving into the late phase of its business cycle. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

Sentiment Indicator Are investors be too bullish? Currently, the sentiment indicator is above average at 1.2 standard deviations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Investor Sentiment​ – NAAIM Exposure Index and S&P 500 NAAIM Exposure Index dropped to 56.15% (median exposure at 70%). NAAIM members’ optimism was short-lived. Image: Willie Delwiche, Baird

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Current Conditions Index This index has been negative year-over-year for 8 consecutive months. This is rare outside of recession. Image: Pictet Asset Management