Change in 12-Month Forward EPS for S&P Tech Sector Firms Nearly all of the year-to-date increase in S&P tech forward earnings traces back to SanDisk and Micron. Excluding those names, revisions look subdued and the growth narrative starts to look less convincing. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Price Reaction to Previous Military Escalations The headlines may be dramatic, but the market impact is likely to be muted. U.S. equities wobble at first, then settle once investors refocus on fundamentals. In the end, short-term jitters rarely outweigh strong fundamentals. Image: Deutsche Bank Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revision Breadth The relationship isn’t perfect, but S&P 500 EPS revision breadth has often led market moves, showing a strong historical link with the index’s six‑month trailing returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance Based on Congress Makeup – Average S&P 500 Index Annual Return Since 1950, U.S. stocks have typically shone under a split Congress, posting an average annual gain of 15.1% as investors embrace the political gridlock that keeps sweeping policy changes in check. Image: Carson Investment Research
January Barometer and S&P 500 Index Return Rest of Year When U.S. stocks end January in the green, momentum usually keeps rolling. Historically, a positive January has been followed by above-average returns 87% of the time, with a median return of 13.4% over the next 11 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Total Return and Gold Return Gold’s shine isn’t dimming, even as U.S. stocks rally. Both are up together for a third straight year. Investors now view bullion as shelter with upside, and central banks’ steady buying keeps the tailwind blowing. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns into Year-End Following >15% Through October When Wall Street catches fire, it usually keeps burning. In years when the S&P 500 has already surged more than 15% by late October, it has added another 4.7% on average through year‑end—winning 20 out of 21 times since 1950. Image: Truist
S&P 500 and Stoxx600 – Q3 2025 Reporting Season Calendar About 16% of S&P 500 firms report earnings this week, but the real test comes next week, with roughly 44% set to deliver results—a pivotal moment that could set the tone for the rest of the season. Image: J.P. Morgan
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth, but the outsized premium that’s defined the trade might lose some of its shine in 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth MCG and Tech have all but carried the market lately, fueling nearly 90% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth. Wall Street’s climb is still a tech‑powered story, with breadth across other sectors stubbornly missing. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Median Excess Return vs. S&P 500 on Day After Earnings Report Strong earnings surprises boosted U.S. stocks in 2Q, but with already high expectations entering the quarter, the price reaction was somewhat limited compared to previous quarters. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research