First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets since 1975 The chart shows that the S&P 500 has generated a 26.9% return on average, in the final years of bull markets since 1975, excluding the current bull market. You may also like “Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets.” Image: Legg Mason
First Fed Rate Cut History tells us that a first 25-bps rate cut is bullish, while a first 50-bps rate cut is bearish. You may also like “U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut.” Image: Ari Wald
Weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey Bulls push above bears, but when doubt and fear are still present, it does not usually look like a major market top. Image: Reuters
New Secular Bull Market? This chart shows a perspective on secular bull and bear markets since 1930. Picture Source: ClearBridge Investments
Fear & Greed Index vs. S&P 500 Index This chart shows how optimism stays unusually low. Is this alarming for bears? Image: Cable News Network
S&P 500 Futures – Massive Pre-market Fear Since 1982 Since 1982, there have been two time periods of this massive pre-market fear: in 2002 and 2008, during the bear market. Image: Sentimentrader
SELECT A STOCK MARKET FORECASTING MODEL STOCK MARKET VALUATION STOCK MARKET SHORT-TERM FORECAST STOCK MARKET EQUITY RISK PREMIUM STOCK MARKET EQUITY RISK PREMIUM STOCK MARKET BULL AND BEAR INDICATOR STOCK MARKET FORECASTING MODELS VS. US STOCK MARKET 97% CORRELATION, R² = 0.94 SINCE 1970 RECESSION INDICATORS LEADING INDICATORS
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the US 10-year Treasury Note. This is the premium…
Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page. Our daily Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator is available in the Pro Membership. Upgrade your Premium Membership to a Pro Membership Now! The period of your actual membership…
Click the Images to Enlarge Video tutorials are available by clicking on this link: “FORECASTING MODELS” located in the menu bar at the top of each page.