S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions

S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions This chart highlights the positive correlation between price return and 2021 earnings revisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

STOXX Europe 600 EPS Revisions

STOXX Europe 600 EPS Revisions This year, SXXP EPS revisions have not been worse than a typical year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Cyclicals EPS Revision

U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Cyclicals EPS Revision This chart shows the correlation between the ISM Manufacturing Index and cyclicals EPS revision, suggesting that 4Q19 will see a reset, with capital goods pricing in an actual earnings recession. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions

S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions This chart from SG shows a good correlation between earning revisions and the S&P 500 1-year volatility. You may also like “S&P 500 1-Month Volatility History Since 1928 and VIX Since 1990.” Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Revision to Consensus S&P 500 EPS

Revision to Consensus S&P 500 3Q EPS 2Q EPS fell by just 2% over the last 3 months, compared to the usual 4%. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Revision to Consensus S&P 500 EPS

Revision to Consensus S&P 500 EPS Have consensus earnings estimates for 2021 the potential to rise again? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Typical Path of S&P 500 Bottom-Up Consensus EPS Estimate

Typical Path of S&P 500 Bottom-Up Consensus EPS Estimate S&P 500 EPS revisions for 2024 are showing a more favorable trend compared to both the previous year, 2023, and the average revisions seen historically, which could potentially contribute to a positive sentiment in the market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – MSCI World P/E

MSCI World Fwd PE and EPS Revisions Downward revisions in global EPS raise concerns, suggesting that the global economic landscape is precarious, prompting central banks to adopt more aggressive strategies to stimulate growth. Image: J.P. Morgan