Conference Board Consumer Confidence, Twitter Sentiment Index, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Despite strong economic performance, U.S. consumer confidence has shown improvements but has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels, indicating that the recovery process is not yet complete. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Conference Board Consumer Confidence and U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Historically, the U.S. Treasury yield curve has tended to follow consumer confidence, underscoring the importance of monitoring consumer confidence as a potential indicator of future yield curve movements. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Recessions and Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index Expectations Less Present Situation Historically, low consumer confidence expectations have not been a positive sign for the U.S. economy. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Corporate Sector Profits vs. CEO Confidence Weak CEO confidence suggests that U.S. corporate profits are at risk. Image: Longview Economics
U.S. Labor Market – CEO Confidence Survey vs. Jobless Claims As CEO confidence declines, the fight against inflation could cause job losses. Image: Real Investment Advice
Earnings – Conference Board CEO Confidence vs. U.S. Corporate Profits YoY Change Should investors be worried about an earnings recession? CEO confidence doesn’t bode well for U.S. corporate profits. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
CEO Confidence vs. U.S. Business Capex Weak CEO confidence does not bode well for capex. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Consumer Confidence and U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Historically, the U.S. 10Y-2Y Treasury yield curve tends to follow U.S. consumer confidence. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500 Index vs. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index The S&P 500 Index and consumer sentiment have diverged since July 2021. Should investors expect market weakness? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Consumer Confidence Index vs. S&P 500 Does consumer confidence improve or do equities fall? Image: Piper Sandler
U.S. Consumer Confidence – U.S. Auto Sales U.S. auto sales have fallen by 14% year-over-year in August, amid weaker consumer confidence and spending in the United States. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy