U.S. Equity Market Outperformance

U.S. Equity Market Outperformance According to Gavekal, U.S. outperformance is mainly cyclical, not structural, and best investment opportunities could be in non-US assets. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Sector Fund Flows

Sector Fund Flows Over the past year, money has piled into tech funds as AI hype, chip outperformance and rising profit forecasts reinforced the bull case. Is the trend running out of steam? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. Small Cap Stocks – S&P 600 / S&P 500

U.S. Small Cap Stocks – S&P 600 / S&P 500 Pressure is mounting on U.S. small caps. The S&P 600 has broken below its 50-day moving average, ending a run of outperformance that began in late 2025 after nearly five years of lagging the S&P 500. Image: BCA Research

Global Equities Performance

Global Equities Performance Since the start of 2025, U.S. stocks have fallen behind other major markets, ending a long run of outperformance. A weaker dollar is giving international investors another reason to look beyond Wall Street. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 and Trend Strength by Market Cap

S&P 500 and Trend Strength by Market Cap US small caps are leading the breadth picture, with 67% now trading above the 200-day moving average, the highest reading since 2021. That’s a healthy signal, but it doesn’t guarantee the outperformance will last. Image: Hi Mount Research

Indexed Market Cap and Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies

Indexed Market Cap and Consensus Fwd 12m EPS Estimates for S&P 500 Companies Earnings momentum is driving the AI infrastructure complex’s outperformance so far this year, with capital flowing to names that are already translating AI demand into visible revenue growth, order strength, and profit expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Performance vs. S&P 500 by Uses of Cash

Performance vs. S&P 500 by Uses of Cash U.S. companies that return the most cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks have outperformed the S&P 500 since 1992. The outperformance usually reflects stronger fundamentals and disciplined capital allocation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread

Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread The last time the Nasdaq 100 traded this cheap versus the S&P 500, it staged its biggest outperformance in a year. Honestly, that’s tough to ignore. Image: Bloomberg