Small Cap Stocks – Relationship Between Relative Fwd P/E of Russell 2000 vs. Russell 1000 and Subsequent 10-Year Annualized Relative Returns For long-term investors, periods when small-cap stocks are trading at a significant discount to large-cap stocks may offer attractive investment opportunities. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Performance (May – October) Broken Down by Presidential Cycle Sell in May and go away? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has shown an average return of 2.3% during the period from May through October in election years, making it an attractive period for investors. Image: Carson Investment Research
Modeled Forward Russell 2000 Returns Conditional on Coincident Real U.S. GDP Growth The performance of small-cap stocks is linked to economic conditions. Weak U.S. economic growth may affect their returns, while strong growth offers potential for solid returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Performance – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 Seasonality Small caps historically tend to outperform the S&P 500 from December to February. Allocating a portion of the portfolio to small cap stocks during this time may benefit investors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
CTAs’ Net Position in Russell 2000 Futures vs. Russell 2000 CTAs may be slightly walking back their net long position in Russell 2000 futures. Image: Nomura
Fed Rate Cut Is Not Necessarily a Sell Signal This chart shows the S&P 500 Index performance, 6 and 12 months after an initial Federal Reserve rate cut. You may also like “S&P 500 Performance Around Previous Fed Cuts.” Image: LPL Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 % Change As cash and T-bills currently offer an attractive yield, should investors “sell in May and go away” this year? Image: TS Lombard
Seasonality – Average Rolling Monthly S&P 500 Return Sell in May this year? Since 1950, the average annualized return of the S&P 500 from May through October has been 5%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average S&P 500 6-Month Return Should investors ignore the old adage “sell in May and go away?” Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 1-Month & Percentage of Time Up If you “sell in May and go away”, you could miss a summer rally, as June-August is historically the second best 3-month period. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 and Seasonal Rotation Strategy Sell in May and go away? This chart suggests that a rotation between defensive and cyclical sectors was a much better strategy Image: CFRA, S&P Global