U.S. Stocks Relative to Bonds U.S. stocks are at their strongest relative to bonds since Trump’s inauguration, supported by persistent risk appetite and the perception of U.S. market resilience amid global uncertainty. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Small-Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 While U.S. small-cap stocks have notably underperformed large caps for an extended period, history suggests that such cycles are not unusual and are often followed by multi-year stretches of small-cap outperformance. Image: Bloomberg
Stocks – Dow Jones with Major Geopolitical Events While geopolitical events can cause short-term market volatility, historical evidence shows that U.S. stocks tend to recover and grow over the long term. Image: Carson Investment Research
Performance – % of S&P 500 Stocks Outperforming the Benchmark by Year Market leadership has broadened in 2025. Whereas a handful of large tech companies dominated in 2023 and 2024, more than half of S&P 500 stocks are now outperforming the index. Image: Ned Davis Research
S&P 500 Performance After >55% of Components Make a 20-Day High There’s good news for bulls: since 1970, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 16.3% in the 12 months after more than 55% of its components hit a 20-day high, with positive returns occurring 96.7% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. S&P 500 Index Since DeepSeek’s emergence in January 2025, the Magnificent Seven stocks have underperformed compared to the S&P 500, driven by AI disruption fears and concerns over capital expenditures. Image: Deutsche Bank
Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. Unprofitable Tech The Magnificent 7’s market dominance may be waning, at least in the short-term, as unprofitable tech stocks have recently outperformed these tech giants, indicating a broader market expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Magnificent Seven Stocks – Change in Number of Hedge Fund Owners During the fourth quarter of 2024, hedge funds reduced their exposure to the “Magnificent Seven” stocks as the weight of these stocks in portfolios reached record levels. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
AAII – U.S. Retail Investors Allocation to Stocks, Bonds and Cash High equity allocations and low cash positions don’t always mean a market reversal is near. However, they suggest that much of the market’s potential gains may already be priced in, as investors have heavily committed to equities. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Top 5 Stocks’ Weight vs. 1-Year Forward Returns While the current high market concentration is a significant feature of today’s market landscape, it doesn’t necessarily predict poor performance in the near term. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks – GRANOLAS vs. Magnificence Seven Driven by remarkable growth in the technology and AI sectors, the performance gap between the Magnificent Seven and the GRANOLAS has widened significantly since the start of 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research