To What Extend Do You Think the U.S. “Magnificent Seven” Tech Stocks Will Either Be Up or Down in 2025? 67% of respondents expect the “Magnificent Seven” stocks to grow in 2025, with an average anticipated gain of 6.8%. In contrast, 33% predict a decline, with 22% of that group expecting a drop of over…
U.S. Small-Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 The small-cap Russell 2000 index has faced a notable downturn in December 2024, experiencing a decline of over 8%. This marks its worst monthly performance since September 2022, reflecting a notable shift in investor confidence. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Stocks Returns during Year One of a President’s Second Term The performance of U.S. stocks during the first year of a second presidential term has shown mixed results historically, but recent trends suggest a more favorable outlook. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Stocks Above Their 20-Day Moving Average With only a small percentage of U.S. stocks trading above their 20-day moving average in a bull market, the S&P 500 index appears oversold, potentially signaling buying opportunities for investors Image: Bloomberg
Small Cap Stocks – Russell 2000 > 10% Gain for the Month Bulls are smiling again! The Russell 2000’s 10.9% gain in November is a promising sign for small-cap stocks over the next six months, with an average increase of 11.3% since 1979 and gains occurring 90% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
U.S. Tech Stocks vs. China Tech Stocks As the U.S. market experiences an AI frenzy, China’s major technology stocks struggle, reflecting investor pessimism towards China’s economic revival efforts and concerns about AI monetization and trade restrictions. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Stocks Net Call Volume The surge in call option activity for mega-cap growth, tech, and defensive stocks indicates ongoing bullish sentiment, while also hinting at possible market shifts ahead. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Stocks – MSCI China Index 12-Month Targets Persistent deflation and geopolitical tensions have led Goldman Sachs to take a more cautious stance on Chinese equities and their earnings potential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
GS Most-Shorted Stocks Index Stocks that investors are shorting the most have hit their highest levels since 2022. While high short interest can indicate potential for a short squeeze, it also reflects significant bearish sentiment from some investors. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Stocks – Earnings Day Moves Last quarter set a 15-year record for earnings day volatility, with 12% of S&P 500 stocks experiencing price movements greater than 10%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stocks – Cyclicals vs. Defensives Investor sentiment is often reflected in the performance of cyclicals versus defensives. Typically, expectations of economic growth lead to a preference for cyclicals, resulting in their outperformance relative to defensives. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research