Citi Economic Surprise Index The Citi Economic Surprise Index for the U.S. is on the rise, signaling that economic data releases are exceeding analyst expectations and pointing to a positive momentum in the U.S. economic performance. Image: BofA Global Research
Rolling 12-Month EPS Surprise vs. ISM PMI Are markets too optimistic? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Trade-Weighted Dollar vs. G10 Citigroup Economic Surprise Index Will the U.S. dollar trend weaker in 2023? Image: BCA Research
S&P 500 Earnings Surprise % Recent earnings surprises are slightly positive. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. 60 Day Change in 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields Is the worst of the bond sell-off over? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. S&P 500 12-Month Earnings Surprise U.S. earnings revisions suggest negative economic surprises. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 Positive Sales Surprises Should U.S. equity investors expect small positive sales surprises ahead? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Should investors expect U.S. Treasuries to rally? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Inflation Surprise – Economic Surprise The risk of stagflation in the euro area is increasing significantly. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
U.S. Data Surprises – Inflation and Growth Is stagflation a real threat in the United States? Image: Deutsche Bank
Inflation Surprises Relative to Overall Data Surprises Is stagflation the greatest risk for investors? Image: BofA Global Research