S&P 500 – Margin Debt vs. Long-Term Trend A rise in the ratio of margin debt to the S&P 500 market cap could indicate a bullish outlook for the U.S. stock market, potentially signaling confidence in the market’s upward trajectory. Image: Topdown Charts
Earnings – S&P 500 Trailing 12-Month Net Income Growth vs. Fed Funds Rate Deviation from Trend (Leading Indicator) The change in fed funds rate suggests an earnings recession. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 Cyclicals Earnings with Trend Are consensus earnings estimates far too optimistic? Image: Deutsche Bank
Small-Cap Stocks – S&P 500 Large-Cap Index vs S&P 600 Small-Cap Index Super Sector Weight Trends U.S. small-cap stocks could be under more pressure as U.S. GDP growth slows. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Index and Trend Line Support A drawdown to the long-term trendline from the 2009 lows would be painful for U.S. equity investors. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and Long Term Trend Line Should investors worry that the S&P 500 is very extended from its long term trend line? Image: Richardson Wealth
S&P 500 Index and Exponential Growth Trend Line Should investors worry that the S&P 500 Index is very extended from its exponential growth trend line? Image: Real Investment Advice
Put to Call Trend Deviation Model vs. S&P 500 The put to call ratio (deviation from trend) is still bullish for the S&P 500. Image: Longview Economics
S&P 500 – Historical Buy-The-Dip Trend The buy-the-dip trend is declining, with the market recovery time reaching a new all-time low in 2021. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Index and Exponential Trend Line Investors should expect a reversion to the mean, as it is highly likely that the gap between the S&P 500 Index and the exponential trend line will close eventually. Image: Real Investment Advice