Shareholder Return vs. Free Cash Flow

Shareholder Return vs. Free Cash Flow Thanks to low interest rates, shareholder return has exceeded free cash flow levels again. U.S. companies cannot spend more than they earn indefinitely. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession

Money Market Fund Flows and Probability of Recession Investors move to safe assets by raising their cash holdings, like 2007/2008. This chart suggests that the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is high. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Gold Fund Flows

Gold Fund Flows Investors are flooding into gold as fears of a global slowdown mount. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

U.S. Government Bond Fund Flows

U.S. Government Bond Fund Flows Over the last six months, U.S. government bond fund flows have been the largest since 1985. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Cross-Asset Valuation for the U.S.

Cross-Asset Valuation for the U.S. On an absolute basis, equities look expensive by historical standards, but relative valuations appear attractive, as free cash flow yield and ERP look cheap. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Share of Passive vs. Active Equity Funds

Share of Passive vs. Active Equity Funds Passive equity funds should surpass active by 2022, as active equity funds exhibit persistent outflows. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Passive Over Active Funds

Passive Over Active Funds History suggests that investor outflows from active funds are smallest after periods of high policy uncertainty. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Decomposing the U.S. 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Spread since 2013

Decomposing the U.S. 10-Year minus 3-Month Treasury Yield Spread since 2013 This great chart shows that the “Global Economic Data” variable has a significant impact on the U.S. 10-year minus 3-month Treasury yield spread since 2018. An R² of 0.902 means that more than 90 percent of the variance in the U.S. 10-year minus 3-month Treasury yield spread…