Growth Over U.S. Presidential Terms

Growth Over U.S. Presidential Terms Since 1960, the U.S. economy has grown faster in the fourth year of the president’s term. Image: ANZ Research

NFIB Survey Leads U.S. Employment

NFIB Survey Leads U.S. Employment The U.S. economy is not unaffected by the trade war and global slowdown. This chart suggests that U.S. employment is slowing down. The chart also suggests that the NFIB survey leads U.S. employment by 6 months. Image: Rothschild & Co Asset Management Europe

Sentiment on Durable Goods Purchases Lead the Unemployment Rate

Sentiment on Durable Goods Purchases Lead the Unemployment Rate This chart suggests that sentiment on durable goods purchases lead the unemployment rate by 12 months, and that the U.S. economy seems to be moving into the late phase of its business cycle. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

China as a Percent of Global GDP

China as a Percent of Global GDP China is the world’s second largest economy, contributing 15.86% to global GDP in 2018. The United States remains the world’s largest economy, contributing 23.9% to global GDP. Image: Bloomberg, Michael McDonough

World’s Central Banks Are Cutting Rates

World’s Central Banks Are Cutting Rates World’s central banks are lowering interest rates, in order to boost money supply in the economy and stimulate economic growth. Image: Charles Schwab

Total Global Debt to GDP

Total Global Debt to GDP The global debt-to-GDP ratio is hovering near a record at $244 trillion. That’s now more than three times the size of the world economy. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

S&P 500 Total Return Change During Economic Expansions

S&P 500 Total Return Change During Economic Expansions The current business cycle is the longest and weakest expansion. The next downturn could hit the U.S. stock market much harder than the economy. Image: Irrelevant Investor LLC