MSCI World Index Valuation at Cycle Peaks and Troughs

MSCI World Index Valuation at Cycle Peaks and Troughs On average, the MSCI World Index currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio that has marked cyclical peaks in the stock market over the past 50 years. Image: Charles Schwab

Negative Yielding Bonds In the World

Negative Yielding Bonds In the World Now, 25% of all bonds in the world trade at negative interest rates. Keep in mind that raising interest rates in the future could be painful for bond investors. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

World Exports Are Contracting – May 2019

World Exports Are Contracting – May 2019 Nowadays, exports of goods and services represent 29% of global GDP and trade tensions are causing a contraction in world exports. Image: First Eagle Investment Management

U.S. Bond Market Hedged and Unhedged

U.S. Bond Market Hedged and Unhedged Investors are frantically searching for yield, knowing that 25% of all bonds in the world trade at negative interest rates. Our world is aging with high levels of debt and low interest rates (maybe for a long time). Image: Fidelity Investments

Global Equities Are Pricing In A Global Recovery

Global Equities Are Pricing In A Global Recovery This chart shows that global equities tend to move ahead of changes in world trade volumes, with a two-month lag.  Global equities are pricing in a global recovery, not global trade wars. Image: Absolute Strategy Research

The Top 10 Risks to the Global Economy

The Top 10 Risks to the Global Economy US-China trade conflict, US corporate debt burden, and emerging-markets crisis are the main global risks according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). Image: World Economic Forum

Has the United States Ever Imported a Recession from a Single Foreign Country?

Has the United States Ever Imported a Recession from a Single Foreign Country? The biggest U.S. trade partners are: China, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Germany, South Korea, United Kingdom and France. So far, the US has never imported a recession from a single foreign country. A Chinese recession would be bad for the U.S. and the…