DHL Global Trade Barometer The DHL Global Trade Barometer is a leading indicator for the future development of global trade, suggesting a protracted but mild decline of world trade. You may also like “Recession Indicators.” Image: Deutsche Post DHL Group
Gold ETF Cumulative Change and Trade Implied Vaulted Gold Build High-net-worth individuals around the world are trying to minimize economic and political risks by buying physical gold. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
MSCI World Index Valuation at Cycle Peaks and Troughs On average, the MSCI World Index currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio that has marked cyclical peaks in the stock market over the past 50 years. Image: Charles Schwab
Share of Negative Yielding Bonds in the World Excluding U.S. The chart shows that 43% of global bonds ex-U.S. trade at negative yields. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Negative Yielding Bonds In the World Now, 25% of all bonds in the world trade at negative interest rates. Keep in mind that raising interest rates in the future could be painful for bond investors. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
World Exports Are Contracting – May 2019 Nowadays, exports of goods and services represent 29% of global GDP and trade tensions are causing a contraction in world exports. Image: First Eagle Investment Management
U.S. Bond Market Hedged and Unhedged Investors are frantically searching for yield, knowing that 25% of all bonds in the world trade at negative interest rates. Our world is aging with high levels of debt and low interest rates (maybe for a long time). Image: Fidelity Investments
Foreign Investor Ownership Share of U.S. Equity Market Foreign investors now hold a record 18% of U.S. stocks, but shifting trade policies and global economic uncertainties may affect future investment in American equities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Two-day Performance for the S&P 500 The two-day decline of 10.5% in the S&P 500 last Thursday and Friday marked its fifth-worst drop since World War II. The turmoil is likely to persist as long as there are no concrete signs of tariff reductions or de-escalation in trade tensions. Image: Deutche Bank
The Top 10 Risks to the Global Economy US-China trade conflict, US corporate debt burden, and emerging-markets crisis are the main global risks according to the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU). Image: World Economic Forum
Has the United States Ever Imported a Recession from a Single Foreign Country? The biggest U.S. trade partners are: China, Canada, Mexico, Japan, Germany, South Korea, United Kingdom and France. So far, the US has never imported a recession from a single foreign country. A Chinese recession would be bad for the U.S. and the…