Consensus MSCI U.S. EPS Forecasts

Consensus MSCI U.S. EPS Forecasts Consensus expects U.S. EPS growth at 7.5% this year. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Global EPS Consensus Forecast

Global EPS Consensus Forecast Global EPS growth estimates for 2022 are falling. Will global stocks follow? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970 Rising inflation tends to boost S&P 500 earnings. According to Goldman Sachs, a 100bp increase in average annual core CPI would lift the S&P 500 EPS to $170 in 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns

Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns The performance gap could widen further, as the top 5 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are superior on almost every financial metric (revenue, profit growth, margin structure, volatility and corporate leverage). Image: Credit Suisse Research

S&P 500 LTM EPS

S&P 500 LTM EPS This chart puts into perspective the long-term (1935-2008) annual trend EPS growth rate of 6.5%. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research