ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 EPS Annual % Change
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 EPS Annual % Change U.S. economic activity is highly correlated with S&P 500 earnings growth. Is it time to worry? Image: Real Investment Advice
ISM Manufacturing Index vs. S&P 500 EPS Annual % Change U.S. economic activity is highly correlated with S&P 500 earnings growth. Is it time to worry? Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 12-Month Forward EPS and Chicago Business Barometer Will S&P 500 EPS growth decelerate sharply? Image: Alpine Macro
Consensus MSCI U.S. EPS Forecasts Consensus expects U.S. EPS growth at 7.5% this year. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates and Forward EPS Has the peak in earnings growth been reached? Image: Fidelity Investments
5-Year Rolling Correlation Between S&P 500 TTM EPS YoY vs. China Nominal GDP and U.S. Nominal GDP China’s economic growth slowdown suggests trouble ahead for the S&P 500. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Global EPS Consensus Forecast Global EPS growth estimates for 2022 are falling. Will global stocks follow? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Value vs. Growth – S&P 500 Index Earnings-Per-Share Growth EPS growth helps to explain why value stocks could outperform growth stocks in 2021. Image: Morgan Stanley Weath Management
Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970 Rising inflation tends to boost S&P 500 earnings. According to Goldman Sachs, a 100bp increase in average annual core CPI would lift the S&P 500 EPS to $170 in 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Top 5 vs. S&P 500 ex-Top 5 – YoY Contribution of EPS and P/E to Returns The performance gap could widen further, as the top 5 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are superior on almost every financial metric (revenue, profit growth, margin structure, volatility and corporate leverage). Image: Credit Suisse Research
S&P 500 LTM EPS This chart puts into perspective the long-term (1935-2008) annual trend EPS growth rate of 6.5%. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research