U.S. Dollar Index and Rest of the World GDP A weaker U.S. dollar typically bodes well for the global economy by boosting growth prospects, improving trade dynamics, and encouraging investment in international markets. Image: BofA Predictive Analytics
Current Market Pricing for Fed Funds Rate Traders predict that the Federal Reserve’s terminal rate, which marks the end of the rate cut cycle, will be around 3%. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
China Exports China’s exports increased by 2.6% since October 2023, mainly due to demand from regions outside the U.S. However, challenges persist, including weak domestic demand and geopolitical tensions that may impact future trade. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Nasdaq Composite Weekly Chart with 40-Week and 200-Week MAs The Nasdaq may potentially reach 18,700 and 22,400, given the possibility of a catch-up trade within a secular bull market presidential cycle. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a strong month for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Treasury Return vs. S&P 500 Return Is the pain trade still U.S. stocks and UST yields higher? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Premium Spent on Buy-to-Open Single-Stock Option Transactions Retail options traders are back in droves. Image: BofA Global Research
Single Stocks Options Notional Open Interest Ahead of Monthly Expiry Should traders and investors be more cautious on a triple witching day? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Net EUR Positioning Asset managers and non-commercial traders have decreased their net long positions in the euro. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investor – Small Cap Stocks Will Beat Large Cap Stocks Is the reflation trade already over? Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
Reflation Sentiment – Total Return in Local Currency Is the great reflation trade still alive? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research