Fed Funds Futures Curve (Interest Rates)

Fed Funds Futures Curve (Interest Rates) For the first time, traders are starting to price in negative U.S. interest rates for first time. Image: The Daily Shot – The Wall Street Journal

Real Interest Rates and Recessions

U.S. Real Interest Rates and Recessions Currently, U.S. real interest rates are negative. In recent history, real interest rates were at least above 1.8% (orange line) before a recession.

Demographics and Interest Rates

Demographics and Interest Rates Interesting chart suggesting that demographics explain bond yields. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Interest Rates Make the Dollar More Attractive

U.S. Interest Rates Make the Dollar More Attractive The strong dollar is the result of higher U.S. interest rates and the fact that the U.S. economy is outperforming the world. But Fed rate cuts are coming. Image: Financial Times

The Secular Trend for U.S. Interest Rates

The Secular Trend for U.S. Interest Rates This nice chart shows the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield against the natural rate (nominal R-Star) and monetary velocity. In a sense, it explains the secular trend for U.S. interest rates. Image: Fidelity Investments