U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 On Monday of last week, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.54%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether…
CAPE Valuations and 10 Year Annualized Real Return With the CAPE10 ratio hovering near rarely seen highs, the market is sending a warning signal. Past cycles point to negative real returns ahead. In other words, valuations this stretched rarely end well historically. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Daily Returns For nearly a century, no day has given the S&P 500 more trouble than Monday, the market’s perennial weak spot. Even the markets get the Monday blues! Image: Carson Investment Research
World Technology Earnings Driven by innovation and a digital‑first economy, tech earnings continue to outpace global peers, with momentum still running strong. Digital transformation remains a powerful growth engine. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The S&P 500 trades just under record highs, and with sentiment still cautious at 36 on the Fear & Greed Index, another leg up may be in sight. Image: Cable News Network
AAII Sentiment Survey Retail investor sentiment in the U.S. cooled again over the past week but stayed narrowly in bullish territory, with AAII bulls topping bears for the eleventh week in a row. Image: The Daily Chartbook
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History Markets show little sign of tiring, as investors keep S&P 500 valuations hovering well above historical norms, fueled by optimism around earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns The S&P 500 often loses steam as February winds down, ranking as the third-weakest half-month going back to 1950. But markets love to surprise when everyone expects a slowdown. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment Active managers are still leaning into U.S. stocks, with the NAAIM Exposure Index reading 80.61, but not at levels associated with peak optimism. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. Image: NAAIM
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures puts the S&P 500 in neutral, leaving the door open for potential upside if momentum turns higher. Image: MarketDesk Research
MSCI Emerging Markets Index Emerging markets are back in play, lifted by a softer U.S. dollar, easing global rates, and fresh reforms from Beijing to New Delhi. The rally’s staying power, though, hinges on how long the dollar stays soft. Image: Bloomberg